Colin Allred's 75% implied probability in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff reflects trader consensus on his first-round plurality of about 45% to Rep. Julie Johnson's 34% on March 3, fueled by his statewide name recognition from the competitive 2024 Senate race and strong fundraising edge—including $1.6 million raised last quarter ending mid-April, outpacing Johnson despite her institutional backing from Washington. Recent developments, such as Johnson's new CTV ad attacking Allred's past Republican-aligned votes and Allred's $950,000 haul since February, have not shifted momentum, with polls like those tracked by the New York Times showing Allred leading in the redrawn Dallas-area district. Quintanilla and Hafeez trail at 0.1% after first-round elimination. The May 26 runoff hinges on turnout among key Democratic voting blocs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডColin Allred 75%
Julie Johnson 26%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$63,094 Vol.
$63,094 Vol.
Colin Allred
75%
Julie Johnson
26%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 75%
Julie Johnson 26%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$63,094 Vol.
$63,094 Vol.
Colin Allred
75%
Julie Johnson
26%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Colin Allred's 75% implied probability in the TX-33 Democratic primary runoff reflects trader consensus on his first-round plurality of about 45% to Rep. Julie Johnson's 34% on March 3, fueled by his statewide name recognition from the competitive 2024 Senate race and strong fundraising edge—including $1.6 million raised last quarter ending mid-April, outpacing Johnson despite her institutional backing from Washington. Recent developments, such as Johnson's new CTV ad attacking Allred's past Republican-aligned votes and Allred's $950,000 haul since February, have not shifted momentum, with polls like those tracked by the New York Times showing Allred leading in the redrawn Dallas-area district. Quintanilla and Hafeez trail at 0.1% after first-round elimination. The May 26 runoff hinges on turnout among key Democratic voting blocs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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