In Texas' 33rd Congressional District Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus gives former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred a commanding 77% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 16%, driven by Allred's first-round primary win on March 3 (44% to Johnson's 33%), overwhelming fundraising edge ($6.4 million raised versus $2.1 million), and a recent internal poll showing him leading 58%-30%. Heightened attacks in the past week—Johnson labeling Allred a flip-flopper on immigration votes, Allred questioning her Palantir stock trades amid ICE scrutiny—have sharpened the contest in the redrawn, Democratic-leaning Dallas-area district, but Allred's name recognition from prior House service and statewide Senate bids sustains his dominance. Early voting starts Monday; eliminated candidates Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez hold negligible odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডColin Allred 77%
Julie Johnson 16%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$73,619 Vol.
$73,619 Vol.
Colin Allred
77%
Julie Johnson
16%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
Colin Allred 77%
Julie Johnson 16%
Carlos Quintanilla <1%
Zeeshan Hafeez <1%
$73,619 Vol.
$73,619 Vol.
Colin Allred
77%
Julie Johnson
16%
Carlos Quintanilla
<1%
Zeeshan Hafeez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas' 33rd Congressional District Democratic primary runoff set for May 26, trader consensus gives former U.S. Rep. Colin Allred a commanding 77% implied probability over incumbent Rep. Julie Johnson at 16%, driven by Allred's first-round primary win on March 3 (44% to Johnson's 33%), overwhelming fundraising edge ($6.4 million raised versus $2.1 million), and a recent internal poll showing him leading 58%-30%. Heightened attacks in the past week—Johnson labeling Allred a flip-flopper on immigration votes, Allred questioning her Palantir stock trades amid ICE scrutiny—have sharpened the contest in the redrawn, Democratic-leaning Dallas-area district, but Allred's name recognition from prior House service and statewide Senate bids sustains his dominance. Early voting starts Monday; eliminated candidates Carlos Quintanilla and Zeeshan Hafeez hold negligible odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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