Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69.5% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his narrow 2024 primary victory over Cori Bush and incumbency advantages including endorsements from the Congressional Black Caucus. Bush, at 31%, mounts a comeback challenge amid lingering tensions from pro-Israel PAC spending that aided Bell last cycle. A Bush-commissioned HIT Strategies poll released mid-April (February field dates) showed a statistical tie—Bell 44%, Bush 40%, 17% undecided among likely Democratic primary voters—with Bush holding higher favorability, yet traders discount it as internal, favoring Bell's establishment support in this open primary featuring minor candidates like Carl Harris and Alissa Murphy. Fundraising reports and further polls could shift dynamics ahead of early voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডনতুন
নতুন
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
70%
Cori Bush
31%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 4, 2026
Wesley Bell
$3,181 Vol.
70%
Cori Bush
$2,474 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69.5% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his narrow 2024 primary victory over Cori Bush and incumbency advantages including endorsements from the Congressional Black Caucus. Bush, at 31%, mounts a comeback challenge amid lingering tensions from pro-Israel PAC spending that aided Bell last cycle. A Bush-commissioned HIT Strategies poll released mid-April (February field dates) showed a statistical tie—Bell 44%, Bush 40%, 17% undecided among likely Democratic primary voters—with Bush holding higher favorability, yet traders discount it as internal, favoring Bell's establishment support in this open primary featuring minor candidates like Carl Harris and Alissa Murphy. Fundraising reports and further polls could shift dynamics ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$5,655শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69.5% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his narrow 2024 primary victory over Cori Bush and incumbency advantages including endorsements from the Congressional Black Caucus. Bush, at 31%, mounts a comeback challenge amid lingering tensions from pro-Israel PAC spending that aided Bell last cycle. A Bush-commissioned HIT Strategies poll released mid-April (February field dates) showed a statistical tie—Bell 44%, Bush 40%, 17% undecided among likely Democratic primary voters—with Bush holding higher favorability, yet traders discount it as internal, favoring Bell's establishment support in this open primary featuring minor candidates like Carl Harris and Alissa Murphy. Fundraising reports and further polls could shift dynamics ahead of early voting.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ভলিউম
$5,655শেষ তারিখ
Aug 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell commands 69.5% trader consensus to win Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary on August 4, buoyed by his narrow 2024 primary victory over Cori Bush and incumbency advantages including endorsements from the Congressional Black Caucus. Bush, at 31%, mounts a comeback challenge amid lingering tensions from pro-Israel PAC spending that aided Bell last cycle. A Bush-commissioned HIT Strategies poll released mid-April (February field dates) showed a statistical tie—Bell 44%, Bush 40%, 17% undecided among likely Democratic primary voters—with Bush holding higher favorability, yet traders discount it as internal, favoring Bell's establishment support in this open primary featuring minor candidates like Carl Harris and Alissa Murphy. Fundraising reports and further polls could shift dynamics ahead of early voting.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা