Poll confirms AfD at 41% in Saxony-Anhalt, clearly ahead of CDU, reinforcing expectations of AfD’s strong showing in eastern state elections and influencing Berlin market sentiment

AfD rises to 19%1%

Poll confirms AfD at 41% in Saxony-Anhalt, clearly ahead of CDU, reinforcing expectations of AfD’s strong showing in eastern state elections and influencing Berlin market sentiment

Polls show SPD at historic lows around 13% nationally and 15% in Berlin, with CDU and AfD leading, reinforcing market pessimism about SPD's chances

SPD jumps to 12%5%

Polls show SPD at historic lows around 13% nationally and 15% in Berlin, with CDU and AfD leading, reinforcing market pessimism about SPD's chances

Chancellor Merz downplays CDU's state election setbacks, attributing losses to local factors rather than federal policies

Merz's comments failed to reverse market skepticism about CDU's prospects in Berlin, stabilizing the

Internal crisis reported within BSW with a 38-page critique of party leadership and calls for change, highlighting organizational problems and weakening electoral prospects

Internal crisis reported within BSW with a 38-page critique of party leadership and calls for change, highlighting organizational problems and weakening electoral prospects

Civey poll confirms continued decline of Berlin CDU to 20%, reflecting voter dissatisfaction

CDU dips to 36%1%

Sustained low polling for CDU in Berlin contributed to the market's downward trend.

Latest Berlin polls show Linke regaining some ground but still trailing major parties

Linke jumps to 22%6%

Improved polling data ahead of the election caused a short-term

Poll shows Berlin CDU support falling to 20%, with four parties nearly tied in voting intentions

CDU drops to 46%10%

Declining polling numbers for CDU in Berlin indicated weakening voter support, causing a significant market

AfD reaches a peak polling of 51% in some regional polls, reflecting optimism about electoral prospects in eastern states and Berlin

AfD jumps to 18%7%

AfD reaches a peak polling of 51% in some regional polls, reflecting optimism about electoral prospects in eastern states and Berlin

CDU leader Kai Wegner approved as mayor of Berlin after coalition talks, sidelining SPD leadership ambitions

SPD dips to 6%1%

CDU leader Kai Wegner approved as mayor of Berlin after coalition talks, sidelining SPD leadership ambitions

CDU leader Kai Wegner approved as mayor of Berlin after three rounds of voting

CDU rises to 56%3%

Wegner's election as mayor signaled CDU's leadership role in Berlin, providing a short-term

BSW Berlin holds party congress to finalize election program focusing on social issues, peace policy, and education reforms, but the party remains a minor player in Berlin politics

BSW dips to 0%1%

BSW Berlin holds party congress to finalize election program focusing on social issues, peace policy, and education reforms, but the party remains a minor player in Berlin politics

Polls show slight recovery for Linke after internal party reforms and campaign adjustments

Linke jumps to 16%6%

Market responded positively to signs of stabilization and modest gains in voter intention.

Latest polls show Greens at 18%, gaining some ground but still trailing CDU and Left

Grüne rises to 18%4%

Continued polling gains supported a further

Polls indicate Greens at 15-16% in Berlin, still behind CDU and Left, with SPD also weak

Grüne rises to 15%4%

Improved polling numbers for the Greens led to a

Reports emerge of parliamentary inquiry into Saxony’s secret decree on AfD supporters’ gun rights, fueling public debate on state actions against AfD and possibly dampening some

AfD dips to 9%3%

Reports emerge of parliamentary inquiry into Saxony’s secret decree on AfD supporters’ gun rights, fueling public debate on state actions against AfD and possibly dampening some support

Polling shows Greens recovering slightly to around 13-15% in Berlin amid volatile voter preferences

Grüne jumps to 12%6%

A modest polling rebound gave some renewed hope for the Greens, causing a temporary

Linke hits lowest polling levels in Berlin amid strong CDU and AfD performance

Linke drops to 12%11%

Poor polling results in Berlin, the party’s stronghold, led to a sharp

SPD and CDU begin negotiations for a grand coalition in Berlin after the 2023 repeat state election

CDU jumps to 64%7%

Coalition talks suggested CDU's potential to govern despite challenges, temporarily increasing market confidence.

AfD’s strong polling in Baden-Württemberg and North Rhine-Westphalia state elections, with 21% and 19% respectively, signals growing influence beyond eastern Germany

AfD rises to 12%1%

AfD’s strong polling in Baden-Württemberg and North Rhine-Westphalia state elections, with 21% and 19% respectively, signals growing influence beyond eastern Germany

SPD and CDU begin negotiations for a grand coalition in Berlin, indicating SPD's diminished bargaining power and influence

SPD rises to 7%1%

SPD and CDU begin negotiations for a grand coalition in Berlin, indicating SPD's diminished bargaining power and influence

Polls show renewed decline for Linke as BSW and AfD consolidate votes

Linke drops to 23%11%

Market reacted to worsening polling numbers as left-wing vote fragmentation continued.

Polls show rising AfD support in eastern states, with AfD leading in five states including former East Germany regions

CDU drops to 48%8%

Growing AfD strength in Berlin's region and eastern Germany reduced CDU's chances, reflected in a market

Polls indicate Linke support at a low point amid growing competition from BSW and AfD

Linke jumps to 34%8%

A brief rebound in polls for Linke, possibly due to campaign efforts, caused a temporary

Infratest dimap poll shows AfD surging to 41% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of September state election, raising prospects of AfD becoming strongest party in an eastern state for the

AfD jumps to 18%7%

Infratest dimap poll shows AfD surging to 41% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of September state election, raising prospects of AfD becoming strongest party in an eastern state for the first time

Berlin poll shows BSW at only 3%, far below the 5% threshold needed to enter the Abgeordnetenhaus, dampening market expectations for BSW's electoral success

BSW dips to 0%1%

Berlin poll shows BSW at only 3%, far below the 5% threshold needed to enter the Abgeordnetenhaus, dampening market expectations for BSW's electoral success

Polls show AfD becoming largest party in former East German states, including Berlin constituencies

Linke drops to 26%10%

Rising AfD strength in Berlin and eastern states pressured Linke’s prospects, reflected in a significant

CDU wins Rhineland-Palatinate state election, defeating SPD by a wide margin

CDU drops to 54%7%

The CDU's victory in this western state election was seen as a boost for Chancellor Merz's party, improving market confidence in CDU's electoral strength.

German federal election results: Greens decline from 15% to 12%, SPD suffers historic losses, CDU largest party

Grüne jumps to 14%12%

Federal election outcomes reflected a downward trend for the Greens, impacting Berlin market expectations.

BSW Berlin nominates Alexander King and Michael Lüders as top candidates for the Berlin state election, aiming for first-time entry into the Abgeordnetenhaus with a peace and

BSW Berlin nominates Alexander King and Michael Lüders as top candidates for the Berlin state election, aiming for first-time entry into the Abgeordnetenhaus with a peace and social policy platform

SPD faces criticism over harsh measures against AfD members in NRW, causing controversy and potential voter alienation in Berlin

SPD dips to 5%1%

SPD faces criticism over harsh measures against AfD members in NRW, causing controversy and potential voter alienation in Berlin

Nationwide poll by GMS shows AfD leading with 27% over CDU’s 24%, marking the party’s biggest-ever lead and signaling rising national support

AfD rises to 11%4%

Nationwide poll by GMS shows AfD leading with 27% over CDU’s 24%, marking the party’s biggest-ever lead and signaling rising national support

Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance nominates Sahra Wagenknecht as chancellor candidate, highlighting fragmentation on the left and complicating CDU's coalition prospects

CDU jumps to 60%10%

This event increased uncertainty about coalition formations, initially boosting CDU's perceived chances as a stable government partner.

Former Linke leader Gregor Gysi launches "Mission Silberlocke" to revitalize party prospects

Linke jumps to 36%9%

Gysi’s announcement of a campaign to strengthen Linke’s position in Berlin and beyond boosted market confidence temporarily.

Björn Höcke confirmed as leader of AfD Thuringia state chapter, which had become the strongest party in the 2024 Thuringian state election, highlighting AfD’s growing influence in

AfD rises to 10%3%

Björn Höcke confirmed as leader of AfD Thuringia state chapter, which had become the strongest party in the 2024 Thuringian state election, highlighting AfD’s growing influence in eastern Germany

Bundestag election review committee rejects BSW recount request

Linke rises to 27%4%

The rejection of the recount request reduced some uncertainty, briefly stabilizing Linke’s

BSW requests full recount of 2025 federal election results citing overseas voting issues; legal challenge announced by Sahra Wagenknecht

Linke plunges to 23%27%

The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW), a splinter from Linke, challenged the federal election results, creating uncertainty and splitting the left-wing vote, causing a sharp drop in Linke’s market

BSW loses coalition presence in Brandenburg as Deputy Minister-President Robert Crumbach and other ministers leave the party amid disputes, signaling governance instability

BSW plunges to 1%49%

BSW loses coalition presence in Brandenburg as Deputy Minister-President Robert Crumbach and other ministers leave the party amid disputes, signaling governance instability

Polls show CDU leading Berlin election with 25%, Die Linke surging to 19%, Greens trailing at 15%

Grüne drops to 4%10%

Polling data indicated a strong CDU and Left presence, weakening the Greens’ position in the race.

Nationwide polls show SPD trailing behind CDU and AfD, with SPD at around 15%, reflecting declining national and regional support

SPD dips to 6%2%

Nationwide polls show SPD trailing behind CDU and AfD, with SPD at around 15%, reflecting declining national and regional support

Saxony’s Interior Ministry confirms secret decree revoking firearms licenses of AfD members and supporters following the party’s designation as a “confirmed right-wing extremist”

AfD plunges to 6%44%

Saxony’s Interior Ministry confirms secret decree revoking firearms licenses of AfD members and supporters following the party’s designation as a “confirmed right-wing extremist” group, intensifying legal and political pressure on AfD ahead of elections

CDU confirms Kai Wegner as lead candidate for 2026 Berlin state election

Grüne jumps to 14%9%

The CDU’s consolidation behind an incumbent mayor boosted their prospects, indirectly pressuring the Greens’ chances.

SPD announces Steffen Krach as lead candidate for 2026 Berlin election, focusing on housing and social services to regain voter support

SPD dips to 8%2%

SPD announces Steffen Krach as lead candidate for 2026 Berlin election, focusing on housing and social services to regain voter support

2023 Berlin repeat state election results: Greens become second-largest party with 18.9%, narrowly behind SPD, but all governing parties decline; CDU emerges as largest party with 28%

Grüne plunges to 1%49%

This election result showed a decline for the Greens and a strong CDU performance, sharply reducing market confidence in a Green win.

SPD suffers worst result in over a century with 18.4% in Berlin repeat state election, narrowly ahead of the Greens, signaling a major loss of voter confidence

SPD plunges to 12%38%

SPD suffers worst result in over a century with 18.4% in Berlin repeat state election, narrowly ahead of the Greens, signaling a major loss of voter confidence