Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader consensus for the Pernambuco gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting her recovery in recent polling against main challenger João Campos (PSB). Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Simplex in July 2026 showed Lyra at 43-49% versus Campos at 36-45% in first- and second-round scenarios, narrowing earlier deficits and underscoring her incumbency edge after the 2022 victory. Both candidates formalized bids at August party conventions, with low single-digit support for alternatives such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) leaving the contest effectively binary. Traders price the outcome as a tight race where late shifts in voter turnout or alliances could still influence the result.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডRaquel Lyra 70%
João Campos 29%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$26,300 Vol.
$26,300 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
70%
João Campos
29%
Ivan Moraes
1%
Raquel Lyra 70%
João Campos 29%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$26,300 Vol.
$26,300 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$11,824 Vol.
70%
João Campos
$12,324 Vol.
29%
Ivan Moraes
$2,151 Vol.
1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader consensus for the Pernambuco gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting her recovery in recent polling against main challenger João Campos (PSB). Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Simplex in July 2026 showed Lyra at 43-49% versus Campos at 36-45% in first- and second-round scenarios, narrowing earlier deficits and underscoring her incumbency edge after the 2022 victory. Both candidates formalized bids at August party conventions, with low single-digit support for alternatives such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) leaving the contest effectively binary. Traders price the outcome as a tight race where late shifts in voter turnout or alliances could still influence the result.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
ভলিউম
$26,300শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader consensus for the Pernambuco gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting her recovery in recent polling against main challenger João Campos (PSB). Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Simplex in July 2026 showed Lyra at 43-49% versus Campos at 36-45% in first- and second-round scenarios, narrowing earlier deficits and underscoring her incumbency edge after the 2022 victory. Both candidates formalized bids at August party conventions, with low single-digit support for alternatives such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) leaving the contest effectively binary. Traders price the outcome as a tight race where late shifts in voter turnout or alliances could still influence the result.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ভলিউম
$26,300শেষ তারিখ
Oct 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader consensus for the Pernambuco gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first-round vote, reflecting her recovery in recent polling against main challenger João Campos (PSB). Surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Simplex in July 2026 showed Lyra at 43-49% versus Campos at 36-45% in first- and second-round scenarios, narrowing earlier deficits and underscoring her incumbency edge after the 2022 victory. Both candidates formalized bids at August party conventions, with low single-digit support for alternatives such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) leaving the contest effectively binary. Traders price the outcome as a tight race where late shifts in voter turnout or alliances could still influence the result.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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