Polymarket traders assign 29% implied probability to an S&P 500 year-end 2026 close in the $6,500-$7,000 range, narrowly ahead of $7,000-$7,500 at 27%, capturing uncertainty over moderate index appreciation from current levels near 7,350 amid resilient 15% calendar-year earnings-per-share growth forecasts. Strong Q1 earnings beats and broadening sector leadership bolster upside potential, yet persistent inflation—fueled by Middle East tensions and surging energy prices—has solidified Fed funds rate expectations at 3.5%-3.75% with no cuts anticipated, tempering valuations. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI releases, June FOMC signals, and Q2 earnings; geopolitical de-escalation could favor higher bins, while hotter data risks downside.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWhat will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$6,500-$7,000 25%
<$6,000 21%
$6,000-$6,500 15%
$24,514 Vol.
$24,514 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
21%
$6,000-$6,500
31%
$6,500-$7,000
25%
$7,000-$7,500
32%
$7,500-$8,000
14%
>$8,000
14%
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$6,500-$7,000 25%
<$6,000 21%
$6,000-$6,500 15%
$24,514 Vol.
$24,514 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$6,000
$15,395 Vol.
21%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,429 Vol.
31%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,328 Vol.
25%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,114 Vol.
32%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,009 Vol.
14%
>$8,000
$2,240 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign 29% implied probability to an S&P 500 year-end 2026 close in the $6,500-$7,000 range, narrowly ahead of $7,000-$7,500 at 27%, capturing uncertainty over moderate index appreciation from current levels near 7,350 amid resilient 15% calendar-year earnings-per-share growth forecasts. Strong Q1 earnings beats and broadening sector leadership bolster upside potential, yet persistent inflation—fueled by Middle East tensions and surging energy prices—has solidified Fed funds rate expectations at 3.5%-3.75% with no cuts anticipated, tempering valuations. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI releases, June FOMC signals, and Q2 earnings; geopolitical de-escalation could favor higher bins, while hotter data risks downside.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
ভলিউম
$24,514শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign 29% implied probability to an S&P 500 year-end 2026 close in the $6,500-$7,000 range, narrowly ahead of $7,000-$7,500 at 27%, capturing uncertainty over moderate index appreciation from current levels near 7,350 amid resilient 15% calendar-year earnings-per-share growth forecasts. Strong Q1 earnings beats and broadening sector leadership bolster upside potential, yet persistent inflation—fueled by Middle East tensions and surging energy prices—has solidified Fed funds rate expectations at 3.5%-3.75% with no cuts anticipated, tempering valuations. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI releases, June FOMC signals, and Q2 earnings; geopolitical de-escalation could favor higher bins, while hotter data risks downside.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
ভলিউম
$24,514শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign 29% implied probability to an S&P 500 year-end 2026 close in the $6,500-$7,000 range, narrowly ahead of $7,000-$7,500 at 27%, capturing uncertainty over moderate index appreciation from current levels near 7,350 amid resilient 15% calendar-year earnings-per-share growth forecasts. Strong Q1 earnings beats and broadening sector leadership bolster upside potential, yet persistent inflation—fueled by Middle East tensions and surging energy prices—has solidified Fed funds rate expectations at 3.5%-3.75% with no cuts anticipated, tempering valuations. Key differentiators include upcoming CPI releases, June FOMC signals, and Q2 earnings; geopolitical de-escalation could favor higher bins, while hotter data risks downside.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা