Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's overwhelming fundraising advantage—nearly $2.9 million raised and $1.9 million cash on hand through late March—bolsters trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District, rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Vasquez faces no primary opposition ahead of June 2, while Republicans recently consolidated around Greg Cunningham after rival Jose Orozco's April dropout and endorsement, President Trump's April 16 backing, and NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program. The even-partisan district, where Vasquez eked out narrow 2022 and 2024 victories amid Trump carrying it narrowly in 2024, underscores incumbency edge and GOP primary risks as key drivers of the 73.5% Democratic implied probability.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$16,866 Vol.
$16,866 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
22%
$16,866 Vol.
$16,866 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,376 Vol.
76%
Republican Party
$15,490 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's overwhelming fundraising advantage—nearly $2.9 million raised and $1.9 million cash on hand through late March—bolsters trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District, rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Vasquez faces no primary opposition ahead of June 2, while Republicans recently consolidated around Greg Cunningham after rival Jose Orozco's April dropout and endorsement, President Trump's April 16 backing, and NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program. The even-partisan district, where Vasquez eked out narrow 2022 and 2024 victories amid Trump carrying it narrowly in 2024, underscores incumbency edge and GOP primary risks as key drivers of the 73.5% Democratic implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$16,866শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's overwhelming fundraising advantage—nearly $2.9 million raised and $1.9 million cash on hand through late March—bolsters trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District, rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Vasquez faces no primary opposition ahead of June 2, while Republicans recently consolidated around Greg Cunningham after rival Jose Orozco's April dropout and endorsement, President Trump's April 16 backing, and NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program. The even-partisan district, where Vasquez eked out narrow 2022 and 2024 victories amid Trump carrying it narrowly in 2024, underscores incumbency edge and GOP primary risks as key drivers of the 73.5% Democratic implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$16,866শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's overwhelming fundraising advantage—nearly $2.9 million raised and $1.9 million cash on hand through late March—bolsters trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District, rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report and similar forecasters. Vasquez faces no primary opposition ahead of June 2, while Republicans recently consolidated around Greg Cunningham after rival Jose Orozco's April dropout and endorsement, President Trump's April 16 backing, and NRCC inclusion in its MAGA Majority program. The even-partisan district, where Vasquez eked out narrow 2022 and 2024 victories amid Trump carrying it narrowly in 2024, underscores incumbency edge and GOP primary risks as key drivers of the 73.5% Democratic implied probability.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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