Following its record-shattering $97 million domestic opening weekend—the largest ever for a musical biopic—"Michael" has shown impressive early legs with a $7.7 million Monday and $11.1 million Tuesday, the fourth-best April Tuesday for a live-action film, buoyed by an A- CinemaScore and audience enthusiasm for high-energy concert sequences despite a dismal 38% Rotten Tomatoes score. Trader consensus clusters around a 45-55% sophomore frame drop to $45-55 million, pitting 50-55m (36.5%) against >55m (35%) and 45-50m (31.5%), as strong word-of-mouth and IMAX premium holdover appeal battle new competition from Disney's female-led tentpole. A Bohemian Rhapsody-like sub-50% drop could push toward $55 million-plus, with Sunday estimates as the key swing factor.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office
"Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office
45-50m 48%
50-55m 37%
>55m 30%
40-45m 26%
নতুন
নতুন
May 4, 2026
<35m
7%
35-40m
10%
40-45m
26%
45-50m
31%
50-55m
37%
>55m
35%
45-50m 48%
50-55m 37%
>55m 30%
40-45m 26%
নতুন
নতুন
May 4, 2026
<35m
$0 Vol.
7%
35-40m
$0 Vol.
10%
40-45m
$100 Vol.
26%
45-50m
$4 Vol.
31%
50-55m
$0 Vol.
37%
>55m
$50 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Following its record-shattering $97 million domestic opening weekend—the largest ever for a musical biopic—"Michael" has shown impressive early legs with a $7.7 million Monday and $11.1 million Tuesday, the fourth-best April Tuesday for a live-action film, buoyed by an A- CinemaScore and audience enthusiasm for high-energy concert sequences despite a dismal 38% Rotten Tomatoes score. Trader consensus clusters around a 45-55% sophomore frame drop to $45-55 million, pitting 50-55m (36.5%) against >55m (35%) and 45-50m (31.5%), as strong word-of-mouth and IMAX premium holdover appeal battle new competition from Disney's female-led tentpole. A Bohemian Rhapsody-like sub-50% drop could push toward $55 million-plus, with Sunday estimates as the key swing factor.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
ভলিউম
$154শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Following its record-shattering $97 million domestic opening weekend—the largest ever for a musical biopic—"Michael" has shown impressive early legs with a $7.7 million Monday and $11.1 million Tuesday, the fourth-best April Tuesday for a live-action film, buoyed by an A- CinemaScore and audience enthusiasm for high-energy concert sequences despite a dismal 38% Rotten Tomatoes score. Trader consensus clusters around a 45-55% sophomore frame drop to $45-55 million, pitting 50-55m (36.5%) against >55m (35%) and 45-50m (31.5%), as strong word-of-mouth and IMAX premium holdover appeal battle new competition from Disney's female-led tentpole. A Bohemian Rhapsody-like sub-50% drop could push toward $55 million-plus, with Sunday estimates as the key swing factor.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ভলিউম
$154শেষ তারিখ
May 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following its record-shattering $97 million domestic opening weekend—the largest ever for a musical biopic—"Michael" has shown impressive early legs with a $7.7 million Monday and $11.1 million Tuesday, the fourth-best April Tuesday for a live-action film, buoyed by an A- CinemaScore and audience enthusiasm for high-energy concert sequences despite a dismal 38% Rotten Tomatoes score. Trader consensus clusters around a 45-55% sophomore frame drop to $45-55 million, pitting 50-55m (36.5%) against >55m (35%) and 45-50m (31.5%), as strong word-of-mouth and IMAX premium holdover appeal battle new competition from Disney's female-led tentpole. A Bohemian Rhapsody-like sub-50% drop could push toward $55 million-plus, with Sunday estimates as the key swing factor.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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