**Clayface’s** opening-weekend consensus centers on a $22–25 million domestic haul because pre-release tracking, modest production costs around $40–44 million, and genre positioning all aligned on that narrow band. The R-rated body-horror film, directed by James Watkins with a Mike Flanagan screenplay, generated solid preview numbers ($3.5 million) and favorable early audience scores (A– CinemaScore, 94 percent audience RT), signaling strong word-of-mouth among its core horror audience despite only 32 percent awareness. International markets added roughly $19 million, keeping the global debut near $43 million and reinforcing the domestic range. A realistic upset would require either a sharp drop below expectations from weaker-than-anticipated reviews or an outsized hold by the expanding A24 documentary *You Can See Everything*, but current data and historical horror patterns make a significant deviation unlikely.