Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th congressional district House seat in the November 2026 midterm elections, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and D+9 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate seat has created an open race, but historical margins—Democrats winning by 18+ points in recent cycles—combined with a crowded yet well-funded Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss (backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and holding $572,000 cash on hand) outweighs a thin Republican primary lineup with minimal fundraising. The April 21 filing deadline has passed without a marquee GOP recruit, solidifying the safe status ahead of the August 4 primaries. Late challenges could arise from a strong Republican nominee, a Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$41,244 Vol.
$41,244 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$41,244 Vol.
$41,244 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$36,716 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$4,529 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th congressional district House seat in the November 2026 midterm elections, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and D+9 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate seat has created an open race, but historical margins—Democrats winning by 18+ points in recent cycles—combined with a crowded yet well-funded Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss (backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and holding $572,000 cash on hand) outweighs a thin Republican primary lineup with minimal fundraising. The April 21 filing deadline has passed without a marquee GOP recruit, solidifying the safe status ahead of the August 4 primaries. Late challenges could arise from a strong Republican nominee, a Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$41,244শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th congressional district House seat in the November 2026 midterm elections, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and D+9 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate seat has created an open race, but historical margins—Democrats winning by 18+ points in recent cycles—combined with a crowded yet well-funded Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss (backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and holding $572,000 cash on hand) outweighs a thin Republican primary lineup with minimal fundraising. The April 21 filing deadline has passed without a marquee GOP recruit, solidifying the safe status ahead of the August 4 primaries. Late challenges could arise from a strong Republican nominee, a Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$41,244শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 11th congressional district House seat in the November 2026 midterm elections, reflecting the district's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report and D+9 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens' decision to pursue the open U.S. Senate seat has created an open race, but historical margins—Democrats winning by 18+ points in recent cycles—combined with a crowded yet well-funded Democratic primary field led by state Sen. Jeremy Moss (backed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and holding $572,000 cash on hand) outweighs a thin Republican primary lineup with minimal fundraising. The April 21 filing deadline has passed without a marquee GOP recruit, solidifying the safe status ahead of the August 4 primaries. Late challenges could arise from a strong Republican nominee, a Democratic scandal, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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