Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the CA-14 special election market due to her early lead in Alameda County vote tallies from the recent special primary and the California Democratic Party endorsement. The seat opened after incumbent Eric Swalwell resigned to pursue the governorship. State Sen. Wahab outperformed other Democrats in initial counts, while former Dublin Mayor and BART Director Melissa Hernandez trails in second. Lower-priced candidates including Matt Ortega, Rakhi Israni Singh, Victor Aguilar Jr., Carin Elam, and Wendy Huang trail further behind in the crowded field. The top-two finishers advance to the August general, with trader pricing reflecting these vote patterns and Wahab's institutional support ahead of final certification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 90%
Matt Ortega 12.4%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 6.8%
Carin Elam 4.1%
Aisha Wahab
75%
Melissa Hernandez
40%
Wendy Huang
4%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
12%
Rakhi Israni Singh
9%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
7%
Aisha Wahab 90%
Matt Ortega 12.4%
Victor Aguilar Jr. 6.8%
Carin Elam 4.1%
Aisha Wahab
75%
Melissa Hernandez
40%
Wendy Huang
4%
Carin Elam
4%
Matt Ortega
12%
Rakhi Israni Singh
9%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the CA-14 special election market due to her early lead in Alameda County vote tallies from the recent special primary and the California Democratic Party endorsement. The seat opened after incumbent Eric Swalwell resigned to pursue the governorship. State Sen. Wahab outperformed other Democrats in initial counts, while former Dublin Mayor and BART Director Melissa Hernandez trails in second. Lower-priced candidates including Matt Ortega, Rakhi Israni Singh, Victor Aguilar Jr., Carin Elam, and Wendy Huang trail further behind in the crowded field. The top-two finishers advance to the August general, with trader pricing reflecting these vote patterns and Wahab's institutional support ahead of final certification.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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