Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the CA-14 special election market because of her California Democratic Party endorsement and record as a state senator in a heavily Democratic East Bay district left vacant by Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. Traders assign her the clear lead as the primary on June 16 approaches, with a possible outright win if she exceeds 50 percent or advancement to the August 18 general. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh, Melissa Hernandez, and Victor Aguilar Jr. split support in the crowded field, while limited Republican participation keeps their odds low. No major new endorsements or polling shifts have emerged in recent weeks to alter this consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-14 Special Election Winner?
CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Aisha Wahab 85%
Rakhi Israni Singh 16.0%
Matt Ortega 4.2%
Carin Elam 3.1%
Aisha Wahab
85%
Melissa Hernandez
3%
Wendy Huang
1%
Carin Elam
3%
Matt Ortega
4%
Rakhi Israni Singh
11%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
3%
Aisha Wahab 85%
Rakhi Israni Singh 16.0%
Matt Ortega 4.2%
Carin Elam 3.1%
Aisha Wahab
85%
Melissa Hernandez
3%
Wendy Huang
1%
Carin Elam
3%
Matt Ortega
4%
Rakhi Israni Singh
11%
Victor Aguilar Jr.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.
This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aisha Wahab holds the strongest position in the CA-14 special election market because of her California Democratic Party endorsement and record as a state senator in a heavily Democratic East Bay district left vacant by Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations. Traders assign her the clear lead as the primary on June 16 approaches, with a possible outright win if she exceeds 50 percent or advancement to the August 18 general. Other Democratic contenders including Rakhi Israni Singh, Melissa Hernandez, and Victor Aguilar Jr. split support in the crowded field, while limited Republican participation keeps their odds low. No major new endorsements or polling shifts have emerged in recent weeks to alter this consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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