Terrance McKinney enters as the consensus lightweight favorite against Kyle Nelson on UFC Seattle's main card opener, reflecting his explosive knockout power—highlighted by the fastest UFC lightweight debut KO—and grappling threat with 17-8 record, despite a recent decision loss to Nazim Sadykhov. Nelson (17-6-1), durable with strong takedown defense, notched a decision win over Matt Frevola in October 2025 but faces stylistic disadvantages against McKinney's aggression. Both fighters made weight cleanly at 156 lbs yesterday with no reported injuries or withdrawals; Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena crowd and altitude pose minimal factors, leaving McKinney's finishing rate (over 70% of wins) as the key driver in closely contested trader pricing around 65% implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
KO/TKO
$598.30K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.
It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Nelson defeats Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Terrance McKinney defeats Kyle Nelson at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Terrance McKinney enters as the consensus lightweight favorite against Kyle Nelson on UFC Seattle's main card opener, reflecting his explosive knockout power—highlighted by the fastest UFC lightweight debut KO—and grappling threat with 17-8 record, despite a recent decision loss to Nazim Sadykhov. Nelson (17-6-1), durable with strong takedown defense, notched a decision win over Matt Frevola in October 2025 but faces stylistic disadvantages against McKinney's aggression. Both fighters made weight cleanly at 156 lbs yesterday with no reported injuries or withdrawals; Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena crowd and altitude pose minimal factors, leaving McKinney's finishing rate (over 70% of wins) as the key driver in closely contested trader pricing around 65% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.
It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
市场开放时间： Mar 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$598,301结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...KO/TKO
$598.30K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.
It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kyle Nelson defeats Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Terrance McKinney defeats Kyle Nelson at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No."
If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
“Under 0.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 1.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 1 for a 0.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
“Under 1.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 2.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 2 for a 1.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold.
Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Kyle Nelson and Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold.
For example:
“Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
“Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3.
If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.”
If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond April 11, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.”
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.Terrance McKinney enters as the consensus lightweight favorite against Kyle Nelson on UFC Seattle's main card opener, reflecting his explosive knockout power—highlighted by the fastest UFC lightweight debut KO—and grappling threat with 17-8 record, despite a recent decision loss to Nazim Sadykhov. Nelson (17-6-1), durable with strong takedown defense, notched a decision win over Matt Frevola in October 2025 but faces stylistic disadvantages against McKinney's aggression. Both fighters made weight cleanly at 156 lbs yesterday with no reported injuries or withdrawals; Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena crowd and altitude pose minimal factors, leaving McKinney's finishing rate (over 70% of wins) as the key driver in closely contested trader pricing around 65% implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Kyle Nelson" if Kyle Nelson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer, scheduled for March 28, 2026.
It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 11, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
市场开放时间： Mar 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
交易量
$598,301结束日期
Mar 29, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 7, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.ufc.com/eventsResolver
0x65070BE91...Terrance McKinney enters as the consensus lightweight favorite against Kyle Nelson on UFC Seattle's main card opener, reflecting his explosive knockout power—highlighted by the fastest UFC lightweight debut KO—and grappling threat with 17-8 record, despite a recent decision loss to Nazim Sadykhov. Nelson (17-6-1), durable with strong takedown defense, notched a decision win over Matt Frevola in October 2025 but faces stylistic disadvantages against McKinney's aggression. Both fighters made weight cleanly at 156 lbs yesterday with no reported injuries or withdrawals; Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena crowd and altitude pose minimal factors, leaving McKinney's finishing rate (over 70% of wins) as the key driver in closely contested trader pricing around 65% implied probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题