Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 44.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, reflecting Real Madrid's ongoing injury crisis headlined by Thibaut Courtois' confirmed thigh absence—ruling out the star goalkeeper for both legs—alongside Éder Militão's tendon issue and Rodrygo's long-term ACL recovery, with Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham only recently easing back post-injury. Bayern, under Vincent Kompany, enters with strong WWDWW form despite a goalkeeper injury pile-up featuring Manuel Neuer's calf problem potentially forcing a youth option, but lower-probability doubts for Alphonso Davies and Jamal Musiala. Real's WWWWW streak and unbeaten run in nine prior UEFA meetings against Bayern keep it competitive, pricing Madrid at 32.5% and draw at 23.5%, underscoring a tight matchup hinging on squad depth and home advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于实时
远期
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54
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46
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16
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161
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47
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7:00 PMApril 7
$43.14K Vol.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If Real Madrid CF wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München match originally scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Bayern München".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 3 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Bayern München".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 3 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München combine to score 2 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München each score at least one goal during the game.
This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals).
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 44.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, reflecting Real Madrid's ongoing injury crisis headlined by Thibaut Courtois' confirmed thigh absence—ruling out the star goalkeeper for both legs—alongside Éder Militão's tendon issue and Rodrygo's long-term ACL recovery, with Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham only recently easing back post-injury. Bayern, under Vincent Kompany, enters with strong WWDWW form despite a goalkeeper injury pile-up featuring Manuel Neuer's calf problem potentially forcing a youth option, but lower-probability doubts for Alphonso Davies and Jamal Musiala. Real's WWWWW streak and unbeaten run in nine prior UEFA meetings against Bayern keep it competitive, pricing Madrid at 32.5% and draw at 23.5%, underscoring a tight matchup hinging on squad depth and home advantage.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
交易量
$43,137结束日期
Apr 7, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...7:00 PMApril 7
$43.14K Vol.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If FC Bayern München wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026 If Real Madrid CF wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München match originally scheduled for April 7, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Bayern München".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 2 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF" if Real Madrid CF win the game by 3 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "FC Bayern München".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "FC Bayern München" if FC Bayern München win the game by 3 or more goals.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Real Madrid CF".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If FC Bayern München wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München combine to score 2 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München combine to score 4 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Over" if Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München combine to score 5 or more goals in this game.
If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00 PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Real Madrid CF and FC Bayern München each score at least one goal during the game.
This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals).
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 44.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, reflecting Real Madrid's ongoing injury crisis headlined by Thibaut Courtois' confirmed thigh absence—ruling out the star goalkeeper for both legs—alongside Éder Militão's tendon issue and Rodrygo's long-term ACL recovery, with Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham only recently easing back post-injury. Bayern, under Vincent Kompany, enters with strong WWDWW form despite a goalkeeper injury pile-up featuring Manuel Neuer's calf problem potentially forcing a youth option, but lower-probability doubts for Alphonso Davies and Jamal Musiala. Real's WWWWW streak and unbeaten run in nine prior UEFA meetings against Bayern keep it competitive, pricing Madrid at 32.5% and draw at 23.5%, underscoring a tight matchup hinging on squad depth and home advantage.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 7, 2026
If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
交易量
$43,137结束日期
Apr 7, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors FC Bayern München at 44.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Bernabéu, reflecting Real Madrid's ongoing injury crisis headlined by Thibaut Courtois' confirmed thigh absence—ruling out the star goalkeeper for both legs—alongside Éder Militão's tendon issue and Rodrygo's long-term ACL recovery, with Kylian Mbappé and Jude Bellingham only recently easing back post-injury. Bayern, under Vincent Kompany, enters with strong WWDWW form despite a goalkeeper injury pile-up featuring Manuel Neuer's calf problem potentially forcing a youth option, but lower-probability doubts for Alphonso Davies and Jamal Musiala. Real's WWWWW streak and unbeaten run in nine prior UEFA meetings against Bayern keep it competitive, pricing Madrid at 32.5% and draw at 23.5%, underscoring a tight matchup hinging on squad depth and home advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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