Iceland holds a slim 50% implied probability as trader consensus favorite against Haiti in this neutral-site international friendly at BMO Field, reflecting its higher FIFA ranking (74th vs. 83rd) and steadier recent form, including a Nations League win over Azerbaijan despite a qualifier loss to Ukraine. Haiti's momentum from topping CONCACAF World Cup qualifying—securing their first berth since 1974 with late wins over Nicaragua and Curacao—keeps them competitive at 23.5%, bolstered by home-like support in Toronto amid World Cup preparations. The match shifted to closed doors two days ago over ticket issues, with no head-to-head history; Haiti's injury concerns (defender Carlens Arcus out, striker Frantzdy Pierrot doubtful from meniscus recovery) and both teams' prior friendlies (Haiti vs. Tunisia tomorrow, Iceland vs. Canada today) heighten draw appeal at 25%, underscoring a tightly contested matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iceland holds a slim 50% implied probability as trader consensus favorite against Haiti in this neutral-site international friendly at BMO Field, reflecting its higher FIFA ranking (74th vs. 83rd) and steadier recent form, including a Nations League win over Azerbaijan despite a qualifier loss to Ukraine. Haiti's momentum from topping CONCACAF World Cup qualifying—securing their first berth since 1974 with late wins over Nicaragua and Curacao—keeps them competitive at 23.5%, bolstered by home-like support in Toronto amid World Cup preparations. The match shifted to closed doors two days ago over ticket issues, with no head-to-head history; Haiti's injury concerns (defender Carlens Arcus out, striker Frantzdy Pierrot doubtful from meniscus recovery) and both teams' prior friendlies (Haiti vs. Tunisia tomorrow, Iceland vs. Canada today) heighten draw appeal at 25%, underscoring a tightly contested matchup.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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