Iceland holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 35% implied probability for this women's international friendly against Haiti (23%), with a draw nearly even at 34%, underscoring a tightly contested matchup driven by contrasting strengths. Iceland, ranked 13th in FIFA women's standings, boasts experienced depth and strong recent Nations League form, including a 3-0 win over Germany last month, positioning them as marginal favorites despite playing on neutral ground in Nicaragua. Haiti's upset potential stems from prodigy Melchie Dumornay's elite playmaking—fresh off starring for Lyon and Haiti's Olympic quarterfinal run—bolstered by no major injury concerns in the past 48 hours. Both sides enter rested after limited October schedules, heightening draw risks in a low-stakes friendly prep for 2025 World Cup qualifying.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Haiti wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Mar 4, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iceland holds a slim edge in trader consensus at 35% implied probability for this women's international friendly against Haiti (23%), with a draw nearly even at 34%, underscoring a tightly contested matchup driven by contrasting strengths. Iceland, ranked 13th in FIFA women's standings, boasts experienced depth and strong recent Nations League form, including a 3-0 win over Germany last month, positioning them as marginal favorites despite playing on neutral ground in Nicaragua. Haiti's upset potential stems from prodigy Melchie Dumornay's elite playmaking—fresh off starring for Lyon and Haiti's Olympic quarterfinal run—bolstered by no major injury concerns in the past 48 hours. Both sides enter rested after limited October schedules, heightening draw risks in a low-stakes friendly prep for 2025 World Cup qualifying.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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