Trader consensus prices a draw at 61.5% for Round 5 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting elite classical chess dynamics where grandmasters like R Praggnanandhaa and Andrey Esipenko prioritize solid preparation over risks in a high-stakes qualifier. Praggnanandhaa, on 2/4 points with a Round 1 win over Anish Giri, a draw versus Wei Yi, a narrow Round 3 loss to leader Javokhir Sindarov, and a steady Round 4 draw against Matthias Bluebaum, holds a 31.5% implied probability boosted by his higher rating, white pieces, and consistent form. Esipenko trails at 1/4 after losses to Sindarov and Giri sandwiching draws with Hikaru Nakamura and Bluebaum, underscoring his winless tournament and positioning him as a 12% underdog amid recent preparation lapses in a wild Najdorf Sicilian defeat yesterday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
下午 12:45四月 3
$3.42K Vol.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 61.5% for Round 5 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting elite classical chess dynamics where grandmasters like R Praggnanandhaa and Andrey Esipenko prioritize solid preparation over risks in a high-stakes qualifier. Praggnanandhaa, on 2/4 points with a Round 1 win over Anish Giri, a draw versus Wei Yi, a narrow Round 3 loss to leader Javokhir Sindarov, and a steady Round 4 draw against Matthias Bluebaum, holds a 31.5% implied probability boosted by his higher rating, white pieces, and consistent form. Esipenko trails at 1/4 after losses to Sindarov and Giri sandwiching draws with Hikaru Nakamura and Bluebaum, underscoring his winless tournament and positioning him as a 12% underdog amid recent preparation lapses in a wild Najdorf Sicilian defeat yesterday.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$3,422结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...下午 12:45四月 3
$3.42K Vol.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus prices a draw at 61.5% for Round 5 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting elite classical chess dynamics where grandmasters like R Praggnanandhaa and Andrey Esipenko prioritize solid preparation over risks in a high-stakes qualifier. Praggnanandhaa, on 2/4 points with a Round 1 win over Anish Giri, a draw versus Wei Yi, a narrow Round 3 loss to leader Javokhir Sindarov, and a steady Round 4 draw against Matthias Bluebaum, holds a 31.5% implied probability boosted by his higher rating, white pieces, and consistent form. Esipenko trails at 1/4 after losses to Sindarov and Giri sandwiching draws with Hikaru Nakamura and Bluebaum, underscoring his winless tournament and positioning him as a 12% underdog amid recent preparation lapses in a wild Najdorf Sicilian defeat yesterday.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
交易量
$3,422结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a draw at 61.5% for Round 5 of the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open, reflecting elite classical chess dynamics where grandmasters like R Praggnanandhaa and Andrey Esipenko prioritize solid preparation over risks in a high-stakes qualifier. Praggnanandhaa, on 2/4 points with a Round 1 win over Anish Giri, a draw versus Wei Yi, a narrow Round 3 loss to leader Javokhir Sindarov, and a steady Round 4 draw against Matthias Bluebaum, holds a 31.5% implied probability boosted by his higher rating, white pieces, and consistent form. Esipenko trails at 1/4 after losses to Sindarov and Giri sandwiching draws with Hikaru Nakamura and Bluebaum, underscoring his winless tournament and positioning him as a 12% underdog amid recent preparation lapses in a wild Najdorf Sicilian defeat yesterday.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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