Union Berlin's home advantage at An der alten Försterei and stronger head-to-head record—12 wins to St. Pauli's 6, with no draws in the last 11 meetings—drive trader consensus toward a 45% implied probability for the hosts, despite their middling ninth-place standing on 31 points after 27 matchdays. St. Pauli's dire injury crisis, sidelining key players like James Sands (ankle, season-ending), Karol Mets (calf), Manolis Saliakas (hamstring), and others including Simon Spari and Ricky-Jade Jones (syndesmotic ligament tears), hampers their 16th-place relegation scrap (24 points), tempering their 25% upset chance despite recent wins over Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen. The 28.5% draw pricing reflects both teams' leaky defenses (Union 46 conceded, St. Pauli 44) and mixed forms—Union's recent L-W-L-L-W versus St. Pauli's L-L-D-W-W—keeping the matchup closely contested.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If 1. FC Union Berlin wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesligaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Union Berlin's home advantage at An der alten Försterei and stronger head-to-head record—12 wins to St. Pauli's 6, with no draws in the last 11 meetings—drive trader consensus toward a 45% implied probability for the hosts, despite their middling ninth-place standing on 31 points after 27 matchdays. St. Pauli's dire injury crisis, sidelining key players like James Sands (ankle, season-ending), Karol Mets (calf), Manolis Saliakas (hamstring), and others including Simon Spari and Ricky-Jade Jones (syndesmotic ligament tears), hampers their 16th-place relegation scrap (24 points), tempering their 25% upset chance despite recent wins over Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen. The 28.5% draw pricing reflects both teams' leaky defenses (Union 46 conceded, St. Pauli 44) and mixed forms—Union's recent L-W-L-L-W versus St. Pauli's L-L-D-W-W—keeping the matchup closely contested.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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