US-geo promotional popup. Variant sets the initial state (expanded vs minimized).

us_popup

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

homepage_btc_15m_slot

signup_prompt

Show personalized Picked for You shelf on homepage

picked_for_you

Auto-redeem prompt for closed market positions

auto_redeem

Kill switch — when enabled, hides sponsor and cancel-sponsorship UI

disable_sponsor_markets

Route /search to the search ranking service

search_ranking

Route navbar search to the search ranking service

search_ranking_autocomplete

Route /search and navbar search to Shaped-backed /search-v3 (vs Typesense /search-v2).

search_v3

Enables the new contracts (PMCT) migration: post-migration modal, USDCe→pUSD wrap UI, new allowance reads/approvals, balance upgrade prompts, and the cancelled-orders portfolio tab.

enable_pmct_migration

Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2750000 and 3000000?

Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (September 29 - October 5)

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 2500000 and 2750000?

Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2)

Will Trump's UN speech be between 35 and 40 minutes?

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 43.0% and 43.4% on October 3?

Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 550k and 600k?

Will Trump's UN speech be between 40 and 45 minutes?

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 45.0% and 45.4% on September 26?

Will Ordinary by Alex Warren be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 450k and 500k

Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on January 30, 2026?

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 400k and 450k?

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 10 2025?

Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "AI" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on September 26?

Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the 3rd most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?

Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Netherlands Parliamentary Election: D66 vs VVD

Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (November 3 - 9)

Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 10 2025?

DrTrump

Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be 4000000 or more?

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on September 19?

Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on September 5?

Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 22?

Will “Nobody Wants This” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025)

Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 29?

动态

授权代币交易支出

部署智能合约钱包以启用交易

签署消息以生成您的 API 密钥

启用交易

资金已激活

你的账户需要迁移到新钱包才能继续交易。先部署新的存款钱包，然后把资金转过去。

升级你的账户

请先激活你的资金

迁移完成

钱包仍在部署中

转账未完成，请重试。

根据你的预测买“是”或“否”份额。赔率会随着其他交易者的交易实时变动。

1. 选一个预测盘口

1.逛逛我们的预测盘口

用加密货币、借记卡或银行转账给账号充值，然后就可以开始交易。

2. 交易

随时卖掉你的“是”或“否”份额，或者等盘口封盘后，凭赢利的份额兑换 1 美元/份。注册账号，几分钟就能完成第一笔交易。

3.兑付

排行榜

你的会话需要重置才能进行交易。请退出登录然后重新登录。

连接问题

，并声明你 (i) 不是美国人；(ii) 不在美国、法国或其他受限管辖区；(iii) 未使用 VPN 或其他方式规避限制。如果你不遵守这些条款，Polymarket 保留将你的钱包设为仅限关仓模式的权利。

在 Polymarket 上交易

，证明你不是美国居民，且不位于美国或任何受限地区。

如需继续使用本网站的交易功能，请填写

需要自我认证

，包括如果你认为收到此消息是错误的。

由于可能违反我们的服务条款，你的账户已被设为仅限关仓模式。你可以关闭现有持仓，但无法开新仓。如需了解更多信息，请联系

交易已暂停

以下地区无法进行交易。禁止使用任何手段规避或试图规避这些限制。

仅查看模式

{count} 个订单

赢了之后，奖金自动到账。不需要手动操作。

自动兑换已关闭

自动兑换已开启

自动兑换失败

重新启用自动兑换

自动兑换奖金

立即收款

出了点问题

你可以平掉这些已结算的持仓，确认最终亏损金额。

亏损的预测盘口

兑换失败

此操作会合并所有符合条件的盘口持仓。

合并 ${amount} 持仓

您的奖金已准备就绪，继续交易吧！

我刚在 @Polymarket 赢了 ${amount}！

快来和我一起，把你的预判变成真金白银：

你的 Polymarket 钱包地址

我刚在 @Polymarket 上交易了。

来跟我交易：

来看看我在 @Polymarket 上的盈亏吧。

来看看我在 @Polymarket 上的资料吧。

来看看 @Polymarket 上的这笔交易。

把 1 份“是”和 1 份“否”合并成 1 USDC。不想持仓时，这么做能省成本。

合并份额

订单簿

重大价格滑点

把 1 USDC 拆成 1 份“是”和 1  份“否”。这么做能省成本，方法是先都买了，再卖掉另一边就行

拆分份额

交易即表示你同意本使用条款，包括你不是 (i) 美国人且 (ii) 不在美国、法国或其他受限地区。

要开始使用升级后的系统进行交易,请在钱包中批准迁移。这是一次性操作。

完成迁移

你的 USDC.e 将按 1:1 比例转换为 pUSD。零手续费,涵盖所有仓位,可全额赎回。

余额迁移

请登录你的账户,以便我们迁移余额并批准新合约。

请登录以继续

你的余额和仓位已迁移完成。一切就绪。

我们对底层做了一些调整,让交易更加稳定可靠。