Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73.5% implied probability that Valve's Steam Machine will launch at $700 or more, driven primarily by escalating hardware component costs amid the ongoing AI-fueled memory and storage shortages. Valve's March 2026 updates recommitted to a full-year release window after February's pricing delay announcement, citing volatile supply chains that have pushed build-of-materials estimates from analysts like Video Games Chronicle to around $700 for a high-performance unit rivaling current-gen consoles. Historical precedent from Steam Deck pricing and recent SteamDB listings marked "Coming Soon" reinforce expectations of premium positioning over budget console models, though an official MSRP reveal—potentially tied to pre-orders—remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$144,486 交易量
$144,486 交易量
Dec 31, 2025
是
$144,486 交易量
$144,486 交易量
Dec 31, 2025
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73.5% implied probability that Valve's Steam Machine will launch at $700 or more, driven primarily by escalating hardware component costs amid the ongoing AI-fueled memory and storage shortages. Valve's March 2026 updates recommitted to a full-year release window after February's pricing delay announcement, citing volatile supply chains that have pushed build-of-materials estimates from analysts like Video Games Chronicle to around $700 for a high-performance unit rivaling current-gen consoles. Historical precedent from Steam Deck pricing and recent SteamDB listings marked "Coming Soon" reinforce expectations of premium positioning over budget console models, though an official MSRP reveal—potentially tied to pre-orders—remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift odds.
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
交易量
$144,486结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73.5% implied probability that Valve's Steam Machine will launch at $700 or more, driven primarily by escalating hardware component costs amid the ongoing AI-fueled memory and storage shortages. Valve's March 2026 updates recommitted to a full-year release window after February's pricing delay announcement, citing volatile supply chains that have pushed build-of-materials estimates from analysts like Video Games Chronicle to around $700 for a high-performance unit rivaling current-gen consoles. Historical precedent from Steam Deck pricing and recent SteamDB listings marked "Coming Soon" reinforce expectations of premium positioning over budget console models, though an official MSRP reveal—potentially tied to pre-orders—remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift odds.
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$144,486结束日期
Dec 31, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 73.5% implied probability that Valve's Steam Machine will launch at $700 or more, driven primarily by escalating hardware component costs amid the ongoing AI-fueled memory and storage shortages. Valve's March 2026 updates recommitted to a full-year release window after February's pricing delay announcement, citing volatile supply chains that have pushed build-of-materials estimates from analysts like Video Games Chronicle to around $700 for a high-performance unit rivaling current-gen consoles. Historical precedent from Steam Deck pricing and recent SteamDB listings marked "Coming Soon" reinforce expectations of premium positioning over budget console models, though an official MSRP reveal—potentially tied to pre-orders—remains the key near-term catalyst that could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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