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Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

Market icon

Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?

0% chance
Polymarket

$120,728 交易量

0% chance
Polymarket

$120,728 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”.

GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3.

Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$120,728
结束日期
May 31, 2023
市场开放时间
Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://openai.com/
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”.

GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3.

Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$120,728
结束日期
May 31, 2023
市场开放时间
Feb 16, 2023, 7:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://openai.com/
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes GPT-4 available to users as a generally available public release (including any beta or test versions) by May 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise this question will resolve to “No”. GPT-4 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-4, or is a successor to GPT-3 in the way that GPT-3 was a successor to GPT-2; it cannot be branded as GPT3.5 or a version of GPT-3. Closed beta or a non-public release will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official OpenAI website (https://openai.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 100%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 100¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?"已产生 $120.7K 的总交易量(自Feb 17, 2023市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?"的当前概率为 100%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。