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科技·预测市场

俄亥俄州是否会在3月31日之前撤销任何关于活动合同活动的OSB许可证？

Market icon
科技·预测市场

俄亥俄州是否会在3月31日之前撤销任何关于活动合同活动的OSB许可证？

是

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW

是

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any online sports betting provider licensed in Ohio has its license officially revoked for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying circumstances include the Ohio Casino Control Commission revoking a Type A license and explicitly citing event-contract activity as a basis for disciplinary action under the Ohio Revised Code (ORC) Chapter 3775. A revocation will not qualify if the action is clearly unrelated to event-contract issues. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ohio State Government and the Ohio Casino Control Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to "No" revocation of any Ohio Sportsbook (OSB) license over event-contract activity by March 31, driven by the Ohio Casino Control Commission's (OCCC) inaction since its August 2025 warning to licensees about prediction market involvement risking licenses. A federal judge's March 10 ruling upheld Ohio's authority to treat sports event contracts as state-regulated sports gaming, rejecting Kalshi's injunction and strengthening enforcement potential—yet no OSB violations, audits, or revocations have materialized in the ensuing weeks. With mere days until resolution, this skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects compliance by operators like DraftKings and FanDuel. Realistic challenges include a last-minute OCCC probe uncovering undisclosed partnerships, prompting emergency license suspension.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to "No" revocation of any Ohio Sportsbook (OSB) license over event-contract activity by March 31, driven by the Ohio Casino Control Commission's (OCCC) inaction since its August 2025 warning to licensees about prediction market involvement risking licenses. A federal judge's March 10 ruling upheld Ohio's authority to treat sports event contracts as state-regulated sports gaming, rejecting Kalshi's injunction and strengthening enforcement potential—yet no OSB violations, audits, or revocations have materialized in the ensuing weeks. With mere days until resolution, this skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects compliance by operators like DraftKings and FanDuel. Realistic challenges include a last-minute OCCC probe uncovering undisclosed partnerships, prompting emergency license suspension.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any online sports betting provider licensed in Ohio has its license officially revoked for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying circumstances include the Ohio Casino Control Commission revoking a Type A license and explicitly citing event-contract activity as a basis for disciplinary action under the Ohio Revised Code (ORC) Chapter 3775. A revocation will not qualify if the action is clearly unrelated to event-contract issues. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ohio State Government and the Ohio Casino Control Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to "No" revocation of any Ohio Sportsbook (OSB) license over event-contract activity by March 31, driven by the Ohio Casino Control Commission's (OCCC) inaction since its August 2025 warning to licensees about prediction market involvement risking licenses. A federal judge's March 10 ruling upheld Ohio's authority to treat sports event contracts as state-regulated sports gaming, rejecting Kalshi's injunction and strengthening enforcement potential—yet no OSB violations, audits, or revocations have materialized in the ensuing weeks. With mere days until resolution, this skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects compliance by operators like DraftKings and FanDuel. Realistic challenges include a last-minute OCCC probe uncovering undisclosed partnerships, prompting emergency license suspension.

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 94.5% implied probability to "No" revocation of any Ohio Sportsbook (OSB) license over event-contract activity by March 31, driven by the Ohio Casino Control Commission's (OCCC) inaction since its August 2025 warning to licensees about prediction market involvement risking licenses. A federal judge's March 10 ruling upheld Ohio's authority to treat sports event contracts as state-regulated sports gaming, rejecting Kalshi's injunction and strengthening enforcement potential—yet no OSB violations, audits, or revocations have materialized in the ensuing weeks. With mere days until resolution, this skin-in-the-game sentiment reflects compliance by operators like DraftKings and FanDuel. Realistic challenges include a last-minute OCCC probe uncovering undisclosed partnerships, prompting emergency license suspension.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"俄亥俄州是否会在3月31日之前撤销任何关于活动合同活动的OSB许可证？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"俄亥俄州会在3月31日前因活动合同行为吊销任何OSB许可证吗？"，概率为 5%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 5¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 5%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"俄亥俄州是否会在3月31日之前撤销任何关于活动合同活动的OSB许可证？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Nov 20, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"俄亥俄州是否会在3月31日之前撤销任何关于活动合同活动的OSB许可证？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"俄亥俄州是否会在3月31日之前撤销任何关于活动合同活动的OSB许可证？"的当前领先者是"俄亥俄州会在3月31日前因活动合同行为吊销任何OSB许可证吗？"，仅有 5%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"俄亥俄州是否会在3月31日之前撤销任何关于活动合同活动的OSB许可证？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。