The market's overwhelming "No" consensus at 93% reflects Little Joe's 2003 escape from Boston's Franklin Park Zoo being followed by major security upgrades across accredited facilities, combined with his current age of 33 and the carefully managed transfer process to Pittsburgh for a breeding program. Traders see little realistic chance of another breakout before the July 31 resolution, given modern enclosure standards and the absence of any recent incidents or behavioral red flags in coverage. While an unforeseen maintenance event or transfer complication could theoretically trigger a "Yes" outcome, the contract explicitly excludes scheduled moves, leaving the low implied probability anchored in the gorilla's stable, supervised environment and historical precedent of non-recurrence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于小乔还会逃走吗？
小乔还会逃走吗？
是
最新
最新
2026-07-31
是
最新
最新
2026-07-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.The market's overwhelming "No" consensus at 93% reflects Little Joe's 2003 escape from Boston's Franklin Park Zoo being followed by major security upgrades across accredited facilities, combined with his current age of 33 and the carefully managed transfer process to Pittsburgh for a breeding program. Traders see little realistic chance of another breakout before the July 31 resolution, given modern enclosure standards and the absence of any recent incidents or behavioral red flags in coverage. While an unforeseen maintenance event or transfer complication could theoretically trigger a "Yes" outcome, the contract explicitly excludes scheduled moves, leaving the low implied probability anchored in the gorilla's stable, supervised environment and historical precedent of non-recurrence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$1,180结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.The market's overwhelming "No" consensus at 93% reflects Little Joe's 2003 escape from Boston's Franklin Park Zoo being followed by major security upgrades across accredited facilities, combined with his current age of 33 and the carefully managed transfer process to Pittsburgh for a breeding program. Traders see little realistic chance of another breakout before the July 31 resolution, given modern enclosure standards and the absence of any recent incidents or behavioral red flags in coverage. While an unforeseen maintenance event or transfer complication could theoretically trigger a "Yes" outcome, the contract explicitly excludes scheduled moves, leaving the low implied probability anchored in the gorilla's stable, supervised environment and historical precedent of non-recurrence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
交易量
$1,180结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The market's overwhelming "No" consensus at 93% reflects Little Joe's 2003 escape from Boston's Franklin Park Zoo being followed by major security upgrades across accredited facilities, combined with his current age of 33 and the carefully managed transfer process to Pittsburgh for a breeding program. Traders see little realistic chance of another breakout before the July 31 resolution, given modern enclosure standards and the absence of any recent incidents or behavioral red flags in coverage. While an unforeseen maintenance event or transfer complication could theoretically trigger a "Yes" outcome, the contract explicitly excludes scheduled moves, leaving the low implied probability anchored in the gorilla's stable, supervised environment and historical precedent of non-recurrence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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