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Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?

Market icon

Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 42.5% for the day of October 6, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for October 6 will be checked on October 7, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for October 6 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on October 7, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to October 6. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to October 6. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden's approval rating as reported by FiveThirtyEight will be greater than or equal to 42.5% for the day of October 6, 2022. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution data for October 6 will be checked on October 7, 2022 (12 PM ET), and can only resolve after the check. If for any reason (e.g. error, no data taken, etc.) there is no data point for October 6 on the check time, the market will be checked 6 hours later, at 6 PM ET on October 7, 2022. If there is still no data point, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to October 6. If Joe Biden is not President on the resolution date, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous available approval rating to October 6. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场，交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 100%（"Yes"）。例如，如果"是"的价格为 100¢，则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Sep 30, 2022上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?"上交易，只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是"，每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否"，你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?"的当前概率为 100%（"Yes"）。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 100%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新，持续提供市场预期信号。

"Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 42.5% or higher on October 6?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。