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Will Joe Biden file to run for president by...?

Market icon

Will Joe Biden file to run for president by...?

$63,168 交易量

Mar 31, 2023
Polymarket

$63,168 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

March 31

$39,467 交易量

No

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June 30

$23,701 交易量

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between the dates of January 3, 2023, and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), Joseph Biden or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any informal declarations by Joseph Biden and/or his representatives regarding Biden's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website https://www.fec.gov/, however a consensus of credible reporting may suffice. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between the dates of March 1, 2023, and June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), Joseph Biden or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any informal declarations by Joseph Biden and/or his representatives regarding Biden's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website https://www.fec.gov/, however a consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between the dates of January 3, 2023, and March 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), Joseph Biden or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any informal declarations by Joseph Biden and/or his representatives regarding Biden's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website https://www.fec.gov/, however a consensus of credible reporting may suffice. This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between the dates of March 1, 2023, and June 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET (inclusive), Joseph Biden or his authorized representative does at least one of the following: - Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) - Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC - Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election - Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note that any informal declarations by Joseph Biden and/or his representatives regarding Biden's intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the official FEC website https://www.fec.gov/, however a consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Joe Biden file to run for president by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"June 30",概率为 100%,其次是"March 31",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will Joe Biden file to run for president by...?"已产生 $63.2K 的总交易量(自Jan 3, 2023市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will Joe Biden file to run for president by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will Joe Biden file to run for president by...?"的当前领先者是"June 30",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"March 31",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will Joe Biden file to run for president by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。