Market icon

Who will Biden pardon?

$25,509,514 交易量

Jan 20, 2025
Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by President Joseph Biden before the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$25,509,514
结束日期
Jan 20, 2025
创建时间
Dec 13, 2024, 6:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve by President Joseph Biden before the next presidential inauguration starts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the pardon, commutation, or reprieve must be issued by Joseph Biden within his first presidential term. If it becomes impossible for Joseph Biden issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Biden pardon?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fauci" at 100%, followed by "Liz Cheney" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Biden pardon?" has generated $25.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 13, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Biden pardon?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Biden pardon?" is "Fauci" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Liz Cheney" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Biden pardon?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Who will Biden pardon?

$25,509,514 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Donald Trump

$6,028,443 交易量

No

Market icon

Fauci

$1,735,203 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$1,792,507 交易量

Yes

Market icon

SBF

$8,209,071 交易量

No

Market icon

Adam Kinzinger

$92,678 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Jim Biden

$3,115,190 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$812,585 交易量

No

Market icon

Adam Schiff

$770,038 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Edward Snowden

$222,488 交易量

No

Market icon

Julian Assange

$510,391 交易量

No

Market icon

Ross Ulbricht

$1,401,485 交易量

No

Market icon

Diddy

$819,435 交易量

No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Biden pardon?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Fauci" at 100%, followed by "Liz Cheney" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Biden pardon?" has generated $25.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 13, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Biden pardon?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Biden pardon?" is "Fauci" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Liz Cheney" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Biden pardon?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.