Europe maintains a dominant 71.5% implied probability in the 2026 World Cup market due to the exceptional depth across UEFA nations, led by Spain's recent Euro 2024 triumph and sustained strong qualifying results, alongside France, England, and Portugal. South America's 21.5% share reflects Argentina's back-to-back Copa America titles and Brazil's traditional strength, though both trail the European frontrunners in current betting consensus. African, Asian, and North American sides remain at single-digit probabilities, limited by shallower talent pools and historical performance gaps against top European and South American squads, with host nations like the United States showing modest improvement but no title contention. Recent injury updates, including Lamine Yamal's hamstring status, have caused minor fluctuations among European contenders without shifting continental positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于欧洲 72%
南美洲 22%
非洲 3.3%
亚洲 2.8%
$2,634,187 交易量
$2,634,187 交易量
欧洲
72%
南美洲
22%
非洲
3%
亚洲
3%
北美
2%
大洋洲
<1%
欧洲 72%
南美洲 22%
非洲 3.3%
亚洲 2.8%
$2,634,187 交易量
$2,634,187 交易量
欧洲
72%
南美洲
22%
非洲
3%
亚洲
3%
北美
2%
大洋洲
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe maintains a dominant 71.5% implied probability in the 2026 World Cup market due to the exceptional depth across UEFA nations, led by Spain's recent Euro 2024 triumph and sustained strong qualifying results, alongside France, England, and Portugal. South America's 21.5% share reflects Argentina's back-to-back Copa America titles and Brazil's traditional strength, though both trail the European frontrunners in current betting consensus. African, Asian, and North American sides remain at single-digit probabilities, limited by shallower talent pools and historical performance gaps against top European and South American squads, with host nations like the United States showing modest improvement but no title contention. Recent injury updates, including Lamine Yamal's hamstring status, have caused minor fluctuations among European contenders without shifting continental positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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