Kirk Cousins' agreement to a one-year, $20 million fully guaranteed contract with the Las Vegas Raiders, announced by his agent just hours ago, has propelled trader consensus to 95.7% implied probability for him starting there in 2026-27, reflecting the team's need for a bridge quarterback to mentor presumptive No. 1 draft pick Fernando Mendoza amid their quarterback rebuild. The creative structure offsets Atlanta Falcons' $10 million obligation from Cousins' prior deal, minimizing cap risk while securing veteran leadership and arm talent for new coach Klint Kubiak's offense. Realistic challenges include a failed physical, unexpected injury placing him on injured reserve, or Raiders trading him post-draft if Mendoza excels in training camp, though such shifts remain low-probability given the skin-in-the-game pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Las Vegas Raiders 95.4%
Carolina Panthers <1%
Cincinnati Bengals <1%
Jacksonville Jaguars <1%
$85,118 交易量
$85,118 交易量
Las Vegas Raiders
95%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Dallas Cowboys
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
Las Vegas Raiders 95.4%
Carolina Panthers <1%
Cincinnati Bengals <1%
Jacksonville Jaguars <1%
$85,118 交易量
$85,118 交易量
Las Vegas Raiders
95%
Carolina Panthers
<1%
Cincinnati Bengals
<1%
Jacksonville Jaguars
<1%
Buffalo Bills
<1%
Los Angeles Chargers
<1%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
<1%
Seattle Seahawks
<1%
Baltimore Ravens
<1%
New Orleans Saints
<1%
Dallas Cowboys
<1%
Detroit Lions
<1%
Atlanta Falcons
<1%
Kansas City Chiefs
<1%
Miami Dolphins
<1%
New York Giants
<1%
Philadelphia Eagles
<1%
San Francisco 49ers
<1%
Washington Commanders
<1%
Minnesota Vikings
<1%
New York Jets
<1%
Pittsburgh Steelers
<1%
Tennessee Titans
<1%
Arizona Cardinals
<1%
Houston Texans
<1%
Chicago Bears
<1%
Cleveland Browns
<1%
Green Bay Packers
<1%
Indianapolis Colts
<1%
New England Patriots
<1%
Los Angeles Rams
<1%
Denver Broncos
<1%
If Kirk Cousins does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kirk Cousins joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kirk Cousins is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 13, 2026, 6:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Kirk Cousins does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kirk Cousins joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kirk Cousins is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kirk Cousins' agreement to a one-year, $20 million fully guaranteed contract with the Las Vegas Raiders, announced by his agent just hours ago, has propelled trader consensus to 95.7% implied probability for him starting there in 2026-27, reflecting the team's need for a bridge quarterback to mentor presumptive No. 1 draft pick Fernando Mendoza amid their quarterback rebuild. The creative structure offsets Atlanta Falcons' $10 million obligation from Cousins' prior deal, minimizing cap risk while securing veteran leadership and arm talent for new coach Klint Kubiak's offense. Realistic challenges include a failed physical, unexpected injury placing him on injured reserve, or Raiders trading him post-draft if Mendoza excels in training camp, though such shifts remain low-probability given the skin-in-the-game pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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