Trader consensus on Polymarket's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam market—featuring Traverse City's beloved Harry and Harriet—clusters tightly around April 8 (28.5%) and April 9 (24.5%), reflecting the first egg's incubation hitting day 37 without visible pips or chick chirps as of April 4. Steady parental shifts amid clearing post-snowstorm weather sustain optimism for an imminent hatch, but historical 35–37-day windows and no breakthrough signs yet differentiate later dates as safer bets over April 7 (15.5%). Livestream viewers' real-time buzz amplifies uncertainty, with a single pip crack potentially swinging momentum; all eyes remain on the 24/7 feed for the cultural milestone that could resolve the nest's 2026 season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于When will the first eaglet hatch?
When will the first eaglet hatch?
April 8 28%
April 9 25%
April 7 16%
April 10 12%
$72,409 交易量
$72,409 交易量
April 4
<1%
April 5
<1%
April 6
4%
April 7
16%
April 8
28%
April 9
25%
April 10
12%
April 11
6%
April 12
3%
April 13
1%
April 14
1%
April 15
1%
April 16
1%
No Hatch before April 17
6%
April 8 28%
April 9 25%
April 7 16%
April 10 12%
$72,409 交易量
$72,409 交易量
April 4
<1%
April 5
<1%
April 6
4%
April 7
16%
April 8
28%
April 9
25%
April 10
12%
April 11
6%
April 12
3%
April 13
1%
April 14
1%
April 15
1%
April 16
1%
No Hatch before April 17
6%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
市场开放时间: Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam market—featuring Traverse City's beloved Harry and Harriet—clusters tightly around April 8 (28.5%) and April 9 (24.5%), reflecting the first egg's incubation hitting day 37 without visible pips or chick chirps as of April 4. Steady parental shifts amid clearing post-snowstorm weather sustain optimism for an imminent hatch, but historical 35–37-day windows and no breakthrough signs yet differentiate later dates as safer bets over April 7 (15.5%). Livestream viewers' real-time buzz amplifies uncertainty, with a single pip crack potentially swinging momentum; all eyes remain on the 24/7 feed for the cultural milestone that could resolve the nest's 2026 season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题