Market icon

When will GPT-5 be announced?

Q2 100.0%

2025 or later 100.0%

Q3 <1%

Q4 <1%

Polymarket

$1,426,068 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI announces the completion of ChatGPT-5 and/or GPT-5 between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official publicly issued communications from OpenAI will count towards this market's resolution. Unofficial statements or interviews by board members or employees, including Sam Altman, will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.

If it is announced that GPT-5 is completed before this market's timeframe begins, this market may immediately resolve to "No". Otherwise, it may not resolve to "No" until its end time has passed and the completion of GPT-5 has not been announced.

GPT-5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-5, or is a successor to GPT-4 in the way that GPT-4 was a successor to GPT-3. GPT-4.5 or such products will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official OpenAI communications from its website https://openai.com/.
交易量
$1,426,068
结束日期
Dec 30, 2024
创建时间
Apr 2, 2024, 11:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI announces the completion of ChatGPT-5 and/or GPT-5 between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official publicly issued communications from OpenAI will count towards this market's resolution. Unofficial statements or interviews by board members or employees, including Sam Altman, will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If it is announced that GPT-5 is completed before this market's timeframe begins, this market may immediately resolve to "No". Otherwise, it may not resolve to "No" until its end time has passed and the completion of GPT-5 has not been announced. GPT-5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-5, or is a successor to GPT-4 in the way that GPT-4 was a successor to GPT-3. GPT-4.5 or such products will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official OpenAI communications from its website https://openai.com/.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

When will GPT-5 be announced?

Q2 100.0%

2025 or later 100.0%

Q3 <1%

Q4 <1%

Polymarket

$1,426,068 交易量

Market icon

Q2

$82,405 交易量

No

Market icon

Q3

$354,246 交易量

No

Market icon

Q4

$571,862 交易量

No

Market icon

2025 or later

$417,554 交易量

Yes

警惕外部链接哦。