Recent hotter-than-expected February CPI and PPI data, showing core inflation at 3.2% year-over-year, have anchored trader consensus toward Powell signaling no March rate cut during his March 20 FOMC press conference, with markets implying over 95% odds of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate. Strong jobs report and resilient consumer spending reinforce views of a restrictive policy stance persisting amid sticky disinflation progress. The updated dot plot may project fewer 2024 cuts than December's median three, emphasizing data dependence. Traders watch for hints on quantitative tightening taper or balance sheet runoff, with sentiment reflecting wisdom of crowds on delayed easing amid robust growth.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$49,405 交易量
通胀40次以上
是
通胀50次以上
是
通胀60次以上
否
“百分比” 20次以上
是
食品/能源 3次及以上
是
美元 2 次以上
是
AI / 人工智能 3次以上
是
美联储/联邦储备 7次以上
否
“没有”3次以上
否
Comment
否
疫情
是
对不起 / 请原谅
是
加密货币 / 比特币
否
黄金 / 石油
是
Collect / Collected
否
Shutdown / Shut Down
否
Delayed / Delay
否
继任者
是
负担能力
否
最高法院
否
不是我们的职责
否
政治
否
speculate / speculation
是
模拟
否
扭曲
否
资产负债表
否
信号
否
下午好
是
退款
否
中国
否
波动
是
衰退
是
战争
是
住房
是
伊朗
否
$49,405 交易量
通胀40次以上
是
通胀50次以上
是
通胀60次以上
否
“百分比” 20次以上
是
食品/能源 3次及以上
是
美元 2 次以上
是
AI / 人工智能 3次以上
是
美联储/联邦储备 7次以上
否
“没有”3次以上
否
Comment
否
疫情
是
对不起 / 请原谅
是
加密货币 / 比特币
否
黄金 / 石油
是
Collect / Collected
否
Shutdown / Shut Down
否
Delayed / Delay
否
继任者
是
负担能力
否
最高法院
否
不是我们的职责
否
政治
否
speculate / speculation
是
模拟
否
扭曲
否
资产负债表
否
信号
否
下午好
是
退款
否
中国
否
波动
是
衰退
是
战争
是
住房
是
伊朗
否
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If no such statement happens by March 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
市场开放时间: Mar 2, 2026, 12:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected February CPI and PPI data, showing core inflation at 3.2% year-over-year, have anchored trader consensus toward Powell signaling no March rate cut during his March 20 FOMC press conference, with markets implying over 95% odds of steady 5.25-5.50% fed funds rate. Strong jobs report and resilient consumer spending reinforce views of a restrictive policy stance persisting amid sticky disinflation progress. The updated dot plot may project fewer 2024 cuts than December's median three, emphasizing data dependence. Traders watch for hints on quantitative tightening taper or balance sheet runoff, with sentiment reflecting wisdom of crowds on delayed easing amid robust growth.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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