Democratic incumbent Eugene Vindman holds a structural edge in Virginia's 7th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic based on its partisan voter index near D+2 and the incumbent's comfortable 2024 performance. Vindman's substantial fundraising provides an early advantage as Republicans navigate a crowded August primary featuring multiple challengers. A recent state court ruling voiding a Democratic-backed redistricting plan preserved the current map without shifting the balance dramatically. These factors underpin the market's strong preference for a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts if primary results or national conditions change before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
91%
共和党
11%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$249 交易量
91%
共和党
$538 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Eugene Vindman holds a structural edge in Virginia's 7th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic based on its partisan voter index near D+2 and the incumbent's comfortable 2024 performance. Vindman's substantial fundraising provides an early advantage as Republicans navigate a crowded August primary featuring multiple challengers. A recent state court ruling voiding a Democratic-backed redistricting plan preserved the current map without shifting the balance dramatically. These factors underpin the market's strong preference for a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts if primary results or national conditions change before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$788结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Eugene Vindman holds a structural edge in Virginia's 7th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic based on its partisan voter index near D+2 and the incumbent's comfortable 2024 performance. Vindman's substantial fundraising provides an early advantage as Republicans navigate a crowded August primary featuring multiple challengers. A recent state court ruling voiding a Democratic-backed redistricting plan preserved the current map without shifting the balance dramatically. These factors underpin the market's strong preference for a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts if primary results or national conditions change before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$788结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Eugene Vindman holds a structural edge in Virginia's 7th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the seat Likely Democratic based on its partisan voter index near D+2 and the incumbent's comfortable 2024 performance. Vindman's substantial fundraising provides an early advantage as Republicans navigate a crowded August primary featuring multiple challengers. A recent state court ruling voiding a Democratic-backed redistricting plan preserved the current map without shifting the balance dramatically. These factors underpin the market's strong preference for a Democratic outcome while leaving room for shifts if primary results or national conditions change before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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