Incumbent Democrat Eugene Vindman is seeking re-election in Virginia’s 7th congressional district under the map in place after a 2026 redistricting amendment was struck down. Forecasters rate the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting its modest partisan lean and Vindman’s 2024 victory margin of roughly three points over the Republican nominee. Democratic primary candidates have begun organizing ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican fields remain less defined at this early stage of the cycle. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 76.5 percent implied probability and the Republican Party 19.1 percent, consistent with historical midterm patterns for an incumbent in a district with this voting index and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$229 交易量
91%
共和党
$538 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eugene Vindman is seeking re-election in Virginia’s 7th congressional district under the map in place after a 2026 redistricting amendment was struck down. Forecasters rate the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting its modest partisan lean and Vindman’s 2024 victory margin of roughly three points over the Republican nominee. Democratic primary candidates have begun organizing ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican fields remain less defined at this early stage of the cycle. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 76.5 percent implied probability and the Republican Party 19.1 percent, consistent with historical midterm patterns for an incumbent in a district with this voting index and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$768结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eugene Vindman is seeking re-election in Virginia’s 7th congressional district under the map in place after a 2026 redistricting amendment was struck down. Forecasters rate the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting its modest partisan lean and Vindman’s 2024 victory margin of roughly three points over the Republican nominee. Democratic primary candidates have begun organizing ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican fields remain less defined at this early stage of the cycle. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 76.5 percent implied probability and the Republican Party 19.1 percent, consistent with historical midterm patterns for an incumbent in a district with this voting index and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$768结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Eugene Vindman is seeking re-election in Virginia’s 7th congressional district under the map in place after a 2026 redistricting amendment was struck down. Forecasters rate the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting its modest partisan lean and Vindman’s 2024 victory margin of roughly three points over the Republican nominee. Democratic primary candidates have begun organizing ahead of the August 4 contest, while Republican fields remain less defined at this early stage of the cycle. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 76.5 percent implied probability and the Republican Party 19.1 percent, consistent with historical midterm patterns for an incumbent in a district with this voting index and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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