The solidly Republican lean of Texas’s 36th congressional district, combined with the strong primary performance of incumbent Representative Brian Babin, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in the November 3 general election. Babin secured over 81 percent of the Republican primary vote in March, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64 percent on her side. These results, in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and lacking recent competitive polling shifts or candidate controversies, have kept the implied probability for a Republican victory near 85 percent. With no scheduled debates, fundraising deadlines, or major endorsements emerging in the past month, market positioning reflects the established path to victory for the incumbent party absent unforeseen developments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,409 交易量
85%
民主党
$2,669 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas’s 36th congressional district, combined with the strong primary performance of incumbent Representative Brian Babin, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in the November 3 general election. Babin secured over 81 percent of the Republican primary vote in March, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64 percent on her side. These results, in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and lacking recent competitive polling shifts or candidate controversies, have kept the implied probability for a Republican victory near 85 percent. With no scheduled debates, fundraising deadlines, or major endorsements emerging in the past month, market positioning reflects the established path to victory for the incumbent party absent unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$5,079结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas’s 36th congressional district, combined with the strong primary performance of incumbent Representative Brian Babin, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in the November 3 general election. Babin secured over 81 percent of the Republican primary vote in March, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64 percent on her side. These results, in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and lacking recent competitive polling shifts or candidate controversies, have kept the implied probability for a Republican victory near 85 percent. With no scheduled debates, fundraising deadlines, or major endorsements emerging in the past month, market positioning reflects the established path to victory for the incumbent party absent unforeseen developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,079结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican lean of Texas’s 36th congressional district, combined with the strong primary performance of incumbent Representative Brian Babin, underpins trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail in the November 3 general election. Babin secured over 81 percent of the Republican primary vote in March, while Democrat Rhonda Hart advanced with 64 percent on her side. These results, in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts and lacking recent competitive polling shifts or candidate controversies, have kept the implied probability for a Republican victory near 85 percent. With no scheduled debates, fundraising deadlines, or major endorsements emerging in the past month, market positioning reflects the established path to victory for the incumbent party absent unforeseen developments before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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