Incumbent Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez secured his party's nomination in the March 3 primary and faces Republican nominee Eric Flores in the November general election for Texas's 34th congressional district. A late-April internal poll sponsored by the NRCC showed Flores holding a narrow 41-40 lead, underscoring the district's competitive nature after shifts in South Texas voting patterns. Traders' 70.5% consensus on a Democratic victory reflects the incumbent's established base, historical performance in the area, and limited additional polling since primaries, while the 26% Republican share accounts for potential gains from national midterm dynamics and recent survey movement. The race remains sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs and any late developments before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
71%
共和党
28%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$552 交易量
71%
共和党
$290 交易量
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez secured his party's nomination in the March 3 primary and faces Republican nominee Eric Flores in the November general election for Texas's 34th congressional district. A late-April internal poll sponsored by the NRCC showed Flores holding a narrow 41-40 lead, underscoring the district's competitive nature after shifts in South Texas voting patterns. Traders' 70.5% consensus on a Democratic victory reflects the incumbent's established base, historical performance in the area, and limited additional polling since primaries, while the 26% Republican share accounts for potential gains from national midterm dynamics and recent survey movement. The race remains sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs and any late developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$843结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez secured his party's nomination in the March 3 primary and faces Republican nominee Eric Flores in the November general election for Texas's 34th congressional district. A late-April internal poll sponsored by the NRCC showed Flores holding a narrow 41-40 lead, underscoring the district's competitive nature after shifts in South Texas voting patterns. Traders' 70.5% consensus on a Democratic victory reflects the incumbent's established base, historical performance in the area, and limited additional polling since primaries, while the 26% Republican share accounts for potential gains from national midterm dynamics and recent survey movement. The race remains sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs and any late developments before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$843结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez secured his party's nomination in the March 3 primary and faces Republican nominee Eric Flores in the November general election for Texas's 34th congressional district. A late-April internal poll sponsored by the NRCC showed Flores holding a narrow 41-40 lead, underscoring the district's competitive nature after shifts in South Texas voting patterns. Traders' 70.5% consensus on a Democratic victory reflects the incumbent's established base, historical performance in the area, and limited additional polling since primaries, while the 26% Republican share accounts for potential gains from national midterm dynamics and recent survey movement. The race remains sensitive to turnout among key voting blocs and any late developments before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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