Texas's 20th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 partisan voter index and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 88 percent of the vote in a district that is majority Hispanic and has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent presidential and House contests. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challenges or redistricting shifts targeting the seat, underpin the current trader consensus. A major unforeseen event such as a serious scandal involving the nominee or an extreme national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$10,988 交易量
$10,988 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$10,988 交易量
$10,988 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$9,001 交易量
94%
共和党
$1,987 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 20th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 partisan voter index and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 88 percent of the vote in a district that is majority Hispanic and has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent presidential and House contests. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challenges or redistricting shifts targeting the seat, underpin the current trader consensus. A major unforeseen event such as a serious scandal involving the nominee or an extreme national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$10,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 20th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 partisan voter index and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 88 percent of the vote in a district that is majority Hispanic and has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent presidential and House contests. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challenges or redistricting shifts targeting the seat, underpin the current trader consensus. A major unforeseen event such as a serious scandal involving the nominee or an extreme national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$10,988结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 20th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 partisan voter index and consistent ratings of solid or safe Democratic by nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Joaquin Castro secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 88 percent of the vote in a district that is majority Hispanic and has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent presidential and House contests. These structural factors, combined with the absence of competitive Republican challenges or redistricting shifts targeting the seat, underpin the current trader consensus. A major unforeseen event such as a serious scandal involving the nominee or an extreme national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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