The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 12th Congressional District, which supported the GOP presidential nominee by 24 points in 2024 and 18 points in 2020, forms the primary driver behind traders' 82% consensus for a Republican win. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, while Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured the Democratic nomination after a contested primary. This leaves Goldman with clear advantages in a Fort Worth-area seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. The general election on November 3 offers limited openings for shifts, though turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
82%
民主党
15%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$6,499 交易量
82%
民主党
$2,239 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 12th Congressional District, which supported the GOP presidential nominee by 24 points in 2024 and 18 points in 2020, forms the primary driver behind traders' 82% consensus for a Republican win. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, while Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured the Democratic nomination after a contested primary. This leaves Goldman with clear advantages in a Fort Worth-area seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. The general election on November 3 offers limited openings for shifts, though turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$8,738结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 12th Congressional District, which supported the GOP presidential nominee by 24 points in 2024 and 18 points in 2020, forms the primary driver behind traders' 82% consensus for a Republican win. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, while Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured the Democratic nomination after a contested primary. This leaves Goldman with clear advantages in a Fort Worth-area seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. The general election on November 3 offers limited openings for shifts, though turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,738结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican lean of Texas's 12th Congressional District, which supported the GOP presidential nominee by 24 points in 2024 and 18 points in 2020, forms the primary driver behind traders' 82% consensus for a Republican win. Incumbent Craig Goldman advanced unopposed in the March 3 Republican primary, while Heli Rodriguez Prilliman secured the Democratic nomination after a contested primary. This leaves Goldman with clear advantages in a Fort Worth-area seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. The general election on November 3 offers limited openings for shifts, though turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments could still influence final margins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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