Redistricting approved by the Texas legislature in 2025 shifted the 9th congressional district eastward, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Harris and Liberty counties and producing a district Trump carried by double digits in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Al Green opted to run elsewhere, leaving an open seat. Leticia Gutierrez emerged from the Democratic primary, while Republicans advanced Alex Mealer and Briscoe Cain to a May 26 runoff, with Mealer backed by former President Trump and holding a fundraising edge. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 81.5% implied probability of victory in November, reflecting the district’s new partisan tilt and the absence of an established Democratic incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
81%
民主党
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$2,111 交易量
81%
民主党
$2,101 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas legislature in 2025 shifted the 9th congressional district eastward, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Harris and Liberty counties and producing a district Trump carried by double digits in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Al Green opted to run elsewhere, leaving an open seat. Leticia Gutierrez emerged from the Democratic primary, while Republicans advanced Alex Mealer and Briscoe Cain to a May 26 runoff, with Mealer backed by former President Trump and holding a fundraising edge. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 81.5% implied probability of victory in November, reflecting the district’s new partisan tilt and the absence of an established Democratic incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
交易量
$4,212结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved by the Texas legislature in 2025 shifted the 9th congressional district eastward, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Harris and Liberty counties and producing a district Trump carried by double digits in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Al Green opted to run elsewhere, leaving an open seat. Leticia Gutierrez emerged from the Democratic primary, while Republicans advanced Alex Mealer and Briscoe Cain to a May 26 runoff, with Mealer backed by former President Trump and holding a fundraising edge. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 81.5% implied probability of victory in November, reflecting the district’s new partisan tilt and the absence of an established Democratic incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$4,212结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved by the Texas legislature in 2025 shifted the 9th congressional district eastward, incorporating more Republican-leaning areas in Harris and Liberty counties and producing a district Trump carried by double digits in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Al Green opted to run elsewhere, leaving an open seat. Leticia Gutierrez emerged from the Democratic primary, while Republicans advanced Alex Mealer and Briscoe Cain to a May 26 runoff, with Mealer backed by former President Trump and holding a fundraising edge. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 81.5% implied probability of victory in November, reflecting the district’s new partisan tilt and the absence of an established Democratic incumbent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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