The Texas 3rd congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voter index and consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and House races, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 84 percent. Incumbent Keith Self secured the nomination in the March 3 primary without a runoff, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed on the other side. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the landscape in recent weeks, leaving the district's voting patterns and midterm dynamics as the primary factors sustaining the wide probability gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,089 交易量
$14,089 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
12%
$14,089 交易量
$14,089 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,677 交易量
84%
民主党
$6,411 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 3rd congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voter index and consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and House races, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 84 percent. Incumbent Keith Self secured the nomination in the March 3 primary without a runoff, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed on the other side. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the landscape in recent weeks, leaving the district's voting patterns and midterm dynamics as the primary factors sustaining the wide probability gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$14,089结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 3rd congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voter index and consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and House races, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 84 percent. Incumbent Keith Self secured the nomination in the March 3 primary without a runoff, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed on the other side. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the landscape in recent weeks, leaving the district's voting patterns and midterm dynamics as the primary factors sustaining the wide probability gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,089结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 3rd congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 partisan voter index and consistent GOP performance in recent presidential and House races, anchors trader consensus behind the Republican nominee at 84 percent. Incumbent Keith Self secured the nomination in the March 3 primary without a runoff, while Democrat Evan Hunt advanced unopposed on the other side. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. No significant polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or redistricting changes have altered the landscape in recent weeks, leaving the district's voting patterns and midterm dynamics as the primary factors sustaining the wide probability gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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