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Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?

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Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?

0% chance
Polymarket

$155,324 交易量

0% chance
Polymarket

$155,324 交易量

A 2023 election for the President of Turkey resulted in no candidate getting a majority, triggering a runoff between incumbent Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu scheduled to be held on Sunday, May 28, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if either candidate in the 2023 Turkish presidential runoff wins by a margin greater than 5% (e.g. margin of 5.0001% resolves to "Yes"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by each candidate in the election. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates. For example, if Candidate A receives 53% of the votes, and Candidate B receives 47% of the votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (|Candidate A% - Candidate B%| = Margin of Victory). Determination of the margin of victory of this election will be based on official information from the Yüksek Seçim Kurulu/YSK/Supreme Election Council (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/tr/cumhurbaskani-secim-arsivi/2647). If this election does not take place by December 31, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.

A 2023 election for the President of Turkey resulted in no candidate getting a majority, triggering a runoff between incumbent Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu scheduled to be held on Sunday, May 28, 2023. This market will resolve to "Yes" if either candidate in the 2023 Turkish presidential runoff wins by a margin greater than 5% (e.g. margin of 5.0001% resolves to "Yes"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the margin of victory is the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by each candidate in the election. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each candidate receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates. For example, if Candidate A receives 53% of the votes, and Candidate B receives 47% of the votes, the difference will be found by subtracting 47 from 53, thus the margin of victory in this case would equal 6 (|Candidate A% - Candidate B%| = Margin of Victory). Determination of the margin of victory of this election will be based on official information from the Yüksek Seçim Kurulu/YSK/Supreme Election Council (e.g. https://www.ysk.gov.tr/tr/cumhurbaskani-secim-arsivi/2647). If this election does not take place by December 31, 2023, this market will resolve 50-50.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?"已产生 $155.3K 的总交易量(自May 17, 2023市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?"的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。