Tesla (TSLA) share price closed Friday, May 1, at $392.67—solidly in the $390-$395 bin—cementing 100% market-implied odds on Polymarket as traders back verified Nasdaq closing auction data with real capital. This strong consensus stems from intrawweek stability above $390, rebounding from early dips after the April 22 Q1 2026 earnings, which showed profits up 17% year-over-year to $477 million amid robust AI and robotics momentum, offset by elevated capex guidance over $25 billion and softening EV demand signals. Analyst estimate revisions tilted positive on long-term growth prospects versus peers, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. With resolution imminent, only an improbable official data revision could challenge positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$390-$395 100.0%
<$350 <1%
$350-$355 <1%
$355-$360 <1%
$30,095 交易量
$30,095 交易量
2026-05-01
<$350
No
$350-$355
No
$355-$360
No
$360-$365
No
$365-$370
No
$370-$375
No
$375-$380
No
$380-$385
No
$385-$390
No
$390-$395
Yes
>$395
No
$390-$395 100.0%
<$350 <1%
$350-$355 <1%
$355-$360 <1%
$30,095 交易量
$30,095 交易量
2026-05-01
<$350
$358 交易量
No
$350-$355
$200 交易量
No
$355-$360
$451 交易量
No
$360-$365
$323 交易量
No
$365-$370
$245 交易量
No
$370-$375
$275 交易量
No
$375-$380
$400 交易量
No
$380-$385
$820 交易量
No
$385-$390
$326 交易量
No
$390-$395
$16,173 交易量
Yes
>$395
$10,524 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) share price closed Friday, May 1, at $392.67—solidly in the $390-$395 bin—cementing 100% market-implied odds on Polymarket as traders back verified Nasdaq closing auction data with real capital. This strong consensus stems from intrawweek stability above $390, rebounding from early dips after the April 22 Q1 2026 earnings, which showed profits up 17% year-over-year to $477 million amid robust AI and robotics momentum, offset by elevated capex guidance over $25 billion and softening EV demand signals. Analyst estimate revisions tilted positive on long-term growth prospects versus peers, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. With resolution imminent, only an improbable official data revision could challenge positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$30,095结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 6:11 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla (TSLA) share price closed Friday, May 1, at $392.67—solidly in the $390-$395 bin—cementing 100% market-implied odds on Polymarket as traders back verified Nasdaq closing auction data with real capital. This strong consensus stems from intrawweek stability above $390, rebounding from early dips after the April 22 Q1 2026 earnings, which showed profits up 17% year-over-year to $477 million amid robust AI and robotics momentum, offset by elevated capex guidance over $25 billion and softening EV demand signals. Analyst estimate revisions tilted positive on long-term growth prospects versus peers, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. With resolution imminent, only an improbable official data revision could challenge positioning.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$30,095结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 6:11 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Tesla (TSLA) share price closed Friday, May 1, at $392.67—solidly in the $390-$395 bin—cementing 100% market-implied odds on Polymarket as traders back verified Nasdaq closing auction data with real capital. This strong consensus stems from intrawweek stability above $390, rebounding from early dips after the April 22 Q1 2026 earnings, which showed profits up 17% year-over-year to $477 million amid robust AI and robotics momentum, offset by elevated capex guidance over $25 billion and softening EV demand signals. Analyst estimate revisions tilted positive on long-term growth prospects versus peers, reflecting wisdom-of-crowds pricing. With resolution imminent, only an improbable official data revision could challenge positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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