Market icon

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Market icon

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

$19,919,327 交易量

Apr 29, 2025
Polymarket

$19,919,327 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Sam Bankman-Fried

$2,009,458 交易量

No

Market icon

Eric Adams

$993,621 交易量

No

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Steve Bannon

$805,284 交易量

No

Market icon

Roger Ver

$1,466,254 交易量

No

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Julian Assange

$564,823 交易量

No

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Himself

$1,087,167 交易量

No

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January 6 protestor

$756,779 交易量

Yes

Market icon

Ross Ulbricht

$6,087,387 交易量

Yes

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Diddy

$1,401,581 交易量

No

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Elon Musk

$568,855 交易量

No

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Hunter Biden

$1,312,596 交易量

No

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Young Thug

$115,127 交易量

No

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Edward Snowden

$1,889,164 交易量

No

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Matt Gaetz

$236,254 交易量

No

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Daniel Penny

$67,404 交易量

No

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Rudy Giuliani

$199,945 交易量

No

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Roger Stone

$32,880 交易量

No

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Bob Menendez

$66,747 交易量

No

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Rod Blagojevich

$270 交易量

Yes

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Joe Exotic "The Tiger King"

$19,793 交易量

No

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Derek Chauvin

$133,067 交易量

No

Market icon

CZ

$104,870 交易量

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$19,919,327
结束日期
Apr 29, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 6, 2024, 11:19 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "January 6 protestor" at 100%, followed by "Ross Ulbricht" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?" has generated $19.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 6, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?" is "January 6 protestor" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ross Ulbricht" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.