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Time 2024 Person of the Year

Market icon

Time 2024 Person of the Year

Donald Trump 100.0%

Elon Musk  <1%

Joe Biden <1%

Kamala Harris <1%

Polymarket

$1,684,248 交易量

Donald Trump 100.0%

Elon Musk  <1%

Joe Biden <1%

Kamala Harris <1%

Polymarket

$1,684,248 交易量

Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? icon

Elon Musk

$293,888 交易量

No

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? icon

Donald Trump

$476,623 交易量

Yes

Will Joe Biden be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? icon

Joe Biden

$99,612 交易量

No

Will Kamala Harris be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? icon

Kamala Harris

$92,258 交易量

No

Will  Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? icon

AI

$576,563 交易量

No

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$86,776 交易量

No

Will Joe Rogan be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? icon

Joe Rogan

$58,528 交易量

No

If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Elon Musk is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Donald Trump is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Donald Trump is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Joe Biden is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long asJoe Biden is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Kamala Harris is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Kamala Harris is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Artificial Intelligence or AI is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Artificial Intelligence or AI is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Artificial Intelligence or AI is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Benjamin Netanyahu is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Joe Rogan is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Rogan is named as TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Joe Rogan is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Donald Trump is explicitly named.

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover.

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$1,684,248
结束日期
2024-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2024, 6:07 PM ET
If Donald Trump is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Donald Trump is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

If Elon Musk is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Elon Musk is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Donald Trump is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Donald Trump is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Joe Biden is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long asJoe Biden is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Kamala Harris is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Kamala Harris is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Artificial Intelligence or AI is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Artificial Intelligence or AI is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Artificial Intelligence or AI is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu is named as TIME's Person of the Year the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Benjamin Netanyahu is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".If Joe Rogan is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Rogan is named as TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Joe Rogan is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Donald Trump is explicitly named.

For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover.

If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered.

This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$1,684,248
结束日期
2024-12-31
市场开放时间
Dec 5, 2024, 6:07 PM ET
If Donald Trump is named as TIME's Person of the Year for 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is named TIME's Person of the Year either alone or in conjunction with any other person or thing which is not named in this market, so long as Donald Trump is explicitly named. For example, if the Person of the Year is "Donald Trump and the MAGA movement", this would qualify to resolve this market to “Trump”. However if the Person of the Year is "The MAGA movement", this would not qualify to resolve this market to “Trump” regardless of whether Trump is depicted on the cover. If two or more people or things which are named in this market are named TIME's Person of the Year, this market will resolve in favor of whichever person or thing is listed first. For example if TIME's Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, the market for Joe Biden would resolve to “Yes” and the market for Kamala Harris would resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on Time's cover. Other Time webpages which differ from the cover will not be considered. This market can resolve after the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is announced by TIME magazine. If for any reason the 2024 TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by January 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Time 2024 Person of the Year"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Donald Trump",概率为 100%,其次是"Elon Musk ",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Time 2024 Person of the Year"已产生 $1.7 million 的总交易量(自Dec 5, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Time 2024 Person of the Year"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Time 2024 Person of the Year"的当前领先者是"Donald Trump",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Elon Musk ",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Time 2024 Person of the Year"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。