Market icon

Thailand next strikes Cambodia on...?

December 9 100.0%

December 10 <1%

December 11 <1%

December 12 <1%

Polymarket

$345,846 交易量

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate between the creation time of this market and December 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Indochina Time (GMT+7) before any other listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.

If no qualifying strike occurs within market timeframe, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
交易量
$345,846
结束日期
Dec 15, 2025
创建时间
Dec 8, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate between the creation time of this market and December 9, 2025, 11:59 PM ET Indochina Time (GMT+7) before any other listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify. If no qualifying strike occurs within market timeframe, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

Thailand next strikes Cambodia on...?

December 9 100.0%

December 10 <1%

December 11 <1%

December 12 <1%

Polymarket

$345,846 交易量

Market icon

December 9

$67,696 交易量

Yes

Market icon

December 10

$96,771 交易量

No

Market icon

December 11

$55,434 交易量

No

Market icon

December 12

$35,612 交易量

No

Market icon

December 13

$27,905 交易量

No

Market icon

December 14

$27,217 交易量

No

Market icon

December 15

$35,210 交易量

No

关于

交易量
$345,846
结束日期
Dec 15, 2025
创建时间
Dec 8, 2025, 6:03 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。