Name: # of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?
Start: 2024-08-21T23:17:04.007745Z
End: 2024-08-31T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the number of Minecraft deaths Speed/Kai by the end of their challenge.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai have between 50 and 59 (inclusive) Minecraft deaths by the end of their hardcore Minecraft challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve once they complete the challenge, or abandon the challenge altogether/stop counting Minecraft deaths.

If the counter reaches over that amount, this market may immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the Death counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

50-59

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai have between 60 and 69 (inclusive) Minecraft deaths by the end of their hardcore Minecraft challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve once they complete the challenge, or abandon the challenge altogether/stop counting Minecraft deaths.

If the counter reaches over that amount, this market may immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the Death counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

60-69

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai have between 70 and 79 (inclusive) Minecraft deaths by the end of their hardcore Minecraft challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve once they complete the challenge, or abandon the challenge altogether/stop counting Minecraft deaths.

If the counter reaches over that amount, this market may immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the Death counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

70-79

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai have between 80 and 89 (inclusive) Minecraft deaths by the end of their hardcore Minecraft challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve once they complete the challenge, or abandon the challenge altogether/stop counting Minecraft deaths.

If the counter reaches over that amount, this market may immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the Death counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

80-89

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai have between 90 and 99 (inclusive) Minecraft deaths by the end of their hardcore Minecraft challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve once they complete the challenge, or abandon the challenge altogether/stop counting Minecraft deaths.

If the counter reaches over that amount, this market may immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the Death counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

90-99

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai have 100 or more Minecraft deaths by the end of their hardcore Minecraft challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve once they complete the challenge, or abandon the challenge altogether/stop counting Minecraft deaths.

If the counter reaches over that amount, this market may immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the Death counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

100+

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Speed/Kai have less than 50 Minecraft deaths by the end of their hardcore Minecraft challenge. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve once they complete the challenge, or abandon the challenge altogether/stop counting Minecraft deaths.

If the counter reaches over that amount, this market may immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source is the Death counter on https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat.

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 15:28:130 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe.

For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated.

For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xqc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

xQc会在1月31日前打破Forsen的Minecraft速通纪录吗？

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies.

If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

马格努斯·卡尔森会赢得2025–2026快棋锦标赛吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of views any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first day after being posted is greater than or equal to 50 million by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.


截至3月31日，MrBeast的视频在第一天获得了5000万次观看吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any weekly bar in the Kaito “Mindshare over time (L12M)” chart reaches a new all-time high at any point between November 19 and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. If no new all-time high occurs, the market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is the creator’s page on Kaito. The weekly bar chart can be viewed by clicking the creator’s name at: https://kaito.ai/mindshare-arena/ct-leaderboard

A weekly bar counts as long as its date range includes the target date. A weekly bar is considered finalized once a bar for the following week is published.

Only the weekly values shown in the L12M chart are used for resolution.

If the Kaito page is temporarily unavailable at resolution time, the market will remain open until it returns. If it becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve to “No.”


threadguy在3月31日前的影响力达到历史新高吗？

This market will resolve to "Akave Esports Black" if Akave Esports Black win against KRÜ Blaze in the named Valorant match.

This market will resolve to "KRÜ Blaze" if KRÜ Blaze win against Akave Esports Black in the Valorant match.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from liquipedia: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Main_Page

Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if s1mple, the professional counter-strike player, announces his retirement from professional competitive esports by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement from s1mple that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred.

Breaks, periods of inactivity, transitions to another game, or transitions to streaming will not count unless s1mple explicitly announces his retirement from professional competitive esports. 

The resolution source will be official announcements from s1mple, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

s1mple会在6月30日前退役吗？

X announced a $1 Million grand prize for its One Million Dollar Article contest (see: https://x.com/XCreators/status/2012306731867717852). The prize will go to the top article for the period of January 16 - January 28, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Dan Koe (@thedankoe) is officially confirmed to have won this $1 Million prize by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements from Dan Koe that he has won the prize will not alone be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.

Dan Koe winning any additional or sub-prize other than the announced $1 million dollar prize will not count.

If it is confirmed that another X user is the winner of this prize, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no winner is officially confirmed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from official X sources, including from @Xcreators, other X team accounts, or Elon Musk; however, a consensus of credible information on the winner of this prize may also be used.

Note: The terms of this prize may be seen at https://legal.x.com/en/articles-promotion-terms

Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?

This market will resolve according to the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games.

The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this market will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. 

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. 

The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

167号选手会赢得野兽游戏：第二季吗？

The finale of Single's Inferno: Season 5 is scheduled to release on Netflix on February 10, 2026. 

This market will resolve according to the number of participants who successfully make a final pair and leave the island with their chosen match by the end of the final episode of Single's Inferno: Season 5. 

If a person definitively fails to make a final pair, this participant will not count. Only the final pairs count; trips to Paradise will not qualify towards the resolution of this market. If the final episode of Single's Inferno: Season 5 does not air by February 28, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix broadcast of the final episode of Single's Inferno: Season 5.

Will between 1 and 4 participants make a final pair?

This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50.

If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. 

This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.

奥布里·布拉科会赢得《幸存者》第50季吗？

This market will resolve according to the bracket containing the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games.

The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this money will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. 

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. 

The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

编号为151至175的选手会赢得野兽游戏第二季吗？

This market will resolve based on the AI with the highest Total P&L at the end of the OKBet Arena. The resolution source will be the leaderboard available at https://arena.okbet.trade/. Total P&L can be viewed by clicking on the wallet icon for each respective AI.

If two or more AIs are tied for the highest Total P&L at the time of resolution, the market will resolve to the AI that comes first in alphabetical order.

If the competition is not completed or the official leaderboard is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by okbet. If no such data becomes available by December 31, 2026 ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

<50
$28,475 交易量
Yes

50-59
$6,385 交易量
No

60-69
$4,974 交易量
No

70-79
$6,565 交易量
No

80-89
$13,806 交易量
No

90-99
$6,369 交易量
No

100+
$24,446 交易量
No

市场背景

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

规则

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

市场背景

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

关于

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

<50$28,475 交易量Yes

50-59$6,385 交易量No

60-69$4,974 交易量No

70-79$6,565 交易量No

80-89$13,806 交易量No

90-99$6,369 交易量No

100+$24,446 交易量No

市场背景

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

规则

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

市场背景

# of Speed/Kai Minecraft deaths by end of challenge?

关于

<50
$28,475 交易量
Yes

50-59
$6,385 交易量
No

60-69
$4,974 交易量
No

70-79
$6,565 交易量
No

80-89
$13,806 交易量
No

90-99
$6,369 交易量
No

100+
$24,446 交易量
No