Incumbent Republican Russell Fry's commanding lead in South Carolina's 7th Congressional District House race drives trader consensus at 89.5% for the GOP, reflecting the district's R+8 partisan lean and consistent polling advantages. Recent surveys, including a September Winthrop University poll showing Fry ahead 54%-36%, underscore his edge among independents and strong GOP base turnout. Fry's unchallenged primary win and fundraising superiority—over $1.5 million cash-on-hand versus Democrat Grant Gillespie's under $200,000—bolster his position. No major scandals or shifts have emerged, with upcoming early voting unlikely to alter the trajectory in this reliably Republican seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于共和党
90%
民主党
11%
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry's commanding lead in South Carolina's 7th Congressional District House race drives trader consensus at 89.5% for the GOP, reflecting the district's R+8 partisan lean and consistent polling advantages. Recent surveys, including a September Winthrop University poll showing Fry ahead 54%-36%, underscore his edge among independents and strong GOP base turnout. Fry's unchallenged primary win and fundraising superiority—over $1.5 million cash-on-hand versus Democrat Grant Gillespie's under $200,000—bolster his position. No major scandals or shifts have emerged, with upcoming early voting unlikely to alter the trajectory in this reliably Republican seat.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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