Aaron Judge tops trader consensus at 36% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP after securing his third award in four years last November, driven by a dominant 2025 campaign with 53 home runs, elite WAR, and a narrow edge over runner-up Cal Raleigh (8% here), underscoring catcher scarcity despite modest power output. Bobby Witt Jr. holds second at 20.5% on his breakout 2025 slash line (.291/.348/.517, 29 HR) and Royals' AL Central contention path. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) and Julio Rodriguez (8.5%) gain from rebound projections amid Blue Jays and Mariners' playoff pushes, while Yordan Alvarez and Corey Seager benefit from Astros and Rangers' lineups; no major injured list news disrupts the top tier entering Opening Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Aaron Judge 37%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
卡尔·劳利 16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
Aaron Judge
37%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
卡尔·劳利
16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
Corey Seager
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
Aaron Judge 37%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
卡尔·劳利 16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
Aaron Judge
37%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
卡尔·劳利
16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
Corey Seager
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge tops trader consensus at 36% implied probability for 2026 AL MVP after securing his third award in four years last November, driven by a dominant 2025 campaign with 53 home runs, elite WAR, and a narrow edge over runner-up Cal Raleigh (8% here), underscoring catcher scarcity despite modest power output. Bobby Witt Jr. holds second at 20.5% on his breakout 2025 slash line (.291/.348/.517, 29 HR) and Royals' AL Central contention path. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) and Julio Rodriguez (8.5%) gain from rebound projections amid Blue Jays and Mariners' playoff pushes, while Yordan Alvarez and Corey Seager benefit from Astros and Rangers' lineups; no major injured list news disrupts the top tier entering Opening Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题