NVIDIA shares have traded near all-time highs around $239–$243 in early October 2026, supported by fiscal Q2 data-center revenue of $89 billion and a $150 billion share-repurchase authorization that underscores management confidence in long-term AI demand. Recent cooler inflation data and softer employment figures have eased near-term rate-hike concerns, lifting broader tech sentiment and helping sustain the rally toward a potential $6 trillion market cap. With the week-of-October-5 close still unresolved, Polymarket odds cluster tightly between $235–$245, reflecting uncertainty over whether momentum from hyperscale orders and the Vera Rubin pipeline will outweigh sensitivity to Treasury yields near 5.3% or any last-minute macro shifts before Friday’s settlement.