Polymarket traders price NVIDIA (NVDA) weekly close bins nearly evenly at 50% implied probabilities from $175-$220, signaling tight contestation and elevated short-term uncertainty as shares consolidate around $199 after dipping from $213 last week. Primary drivers include fresh competition pressures from Amazon and Google custom AI chips, plus OpenAI's disclosed misses on user growth and revenue targets, prompting reevaluation of hyperscaler commitments exceeding $500 billion in NVIDIA compute. Differentiating NVDA's edge remains its CUDA ecosystem moat and Blackwell/Rubin GPU leadership amid sustained data center demand, with analyst consensus targets at $270. Key swing factors: impending Q1 FY2026 earnings call and H200 China export updates, against broader semiconductor volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$210-$215 34.3%
$215-$220 24.1%
$205-$210 21%
<$175 10.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-08
<$175
10%
$175-$180
1%
$180-$185
10%
$185-$190
10%
$190-$195
7%
$195-$200
6%
$200-$205
5%
$205-$210
21%
$210-$215
34%
$215-$220
24%
>$220
9%
$210-$215 34.3%
$215-$220 24.1%
$205-$210 21%
<$175 10.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-08
<$175
$345 交易量
10%
$175-$180
$25 交易量
1%
$180-$185
$25 交易量
10%
$185-$190
$260 交易量
10%
$190-$195
$3 交易量
7%
$195-$200
$0 交易量
6%
$200-$205
$100 交易量
5%
$205-$210
$12 交易量
21%
$210-$215
$30 交易量
34%
$215-$220
$0 交易量
24%
>$220
$5 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price NVIDIA (NVDA) weekly close bins nearly evenly at 50% implied probabilities from $175-$220, signaling tight contestation and elevated short-term uncertainty as shares consolidate around $199 after dipping from $213 last week. Primary drivers include fresh competition pressures from Amazon and Google custom AI chips, plus OpenAI's disclosed misses on user growth and revenue targets, prompting reevaluation of hyperscaler commitments exceeding $500 billion in NVIDIA compute. Differentiating NVDA's edge remains its CUDA ecosystem moat and Blackwell/Rubin GPU leadership amid sustained data center demand, with analyst consensus targets at $270. Key swing factors: impending Q1 FY2026 earnings call and H200 China export updates, against broader semiconductor volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
交易量
$806结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders price NVIDIA (NVDA) weekly close bins nearly evenly at 50% implied probabilities from $175-$220, signaling tight contestation and elevated short-term uncertainty as shares consolidate around $199 after dipping from $213 last week. Primary drivers include fresh competition pressures from Amazon and Google custom AI chips, plus OpenAI's disclosed misses on user growth and revenue targets, prompting reevaluation of hyperscaler commitments exceeding $500 billion in NVIDIA compute. Differentiating NVDA's edge remains its CUDA ecosystem moat and Blackwell/Rubin GPU leadership amid sustained data center demand, with analyst consensus targets at $270. Key swing factors: impending Q1 FY2026 earnings call and H200 China export updates, against broader semiconductor volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$806结束日期
2026-05-08市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 6:04 PM ETPolymarket traders price NVIDIA (NVDA) weekly close bins nearly evenly at 50% implied probabilities from $175-$220, signaling tight contestation and elevated short-term uncertainty as shares consolidate around $199 after dipping from $213 last week. Primary drivers include fresh competition pressures from Amazon and Google custom AI chips, plus OpenAI's disclosed misses on user growth and revenue targets, prompting reevaluation of hyperscaler commitments exceeding $500 billion in NVIDIA compute. Differentiating NVDA's edge remains its CUDA ecosystem moat and Blackwell/Rubin GPU leadership amid sustained data center demand, with analyst consensus targets at $270. Key swing factors: impending Q1 FY2026 earnings call and H200 China export updates, against broader semiconductor volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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