Market icon

November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.30-1.34 100.0%

<1.20 <1%

1.20-1.24 <1%

1.25-1.29 <1%

Polymarket

$2,554,058 交易量

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
交易量
$2,554,058
结束日期
Nov 30, 2024
创建时间
Nov 6, 2024, 2:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2024 shows an increase of less than 1.20°C when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An anomaly of less than 1.20°C for November 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for November 2024 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Nov" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2024 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

Market icon

November 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.30-1.34 100.0%

<1.20 <1%

1.20-1.24 <1%

1.25-1.29 <1%

Polymarket

$2,554,058 交易量

<1.20

$595,329 交易量

No

1.20-1.24

$555,925 交易量

No

1.25-1.29

$308,546 交易量

No

1.30-1.34

$246,733 交易量

Yes

1.35-1.39

$383,210 交易量

No

>1.39

$464,315 交易量

No

关于

交易量
$2,554,058
结束日期
Nov 30, 2024
创建时间
Nov 6, 2024, 2:01 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。