Anthropic's June 9 release of Fable 5, the first widely available Mythos-class model with added safeguards against cyber and bio risks, has reset trader expectations for the next iteration. This follows months of restricted access to Claude Mythos Preview due to its advanced autonomous exploit capabilities and the parallel rollout of an unrestricted Mythos 5 variant for Project Glasswing partners. Competitive pressure from rival frontier labs, combined with Anthropic's stated timeline for broader Mythos-class availability after safety refinements, underpins the market's strong lean toward a September 30 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include further API expansions, benchmark results, and any regulatory scrutiny on high-capability releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
最新
2026-09-30
July 31
28%
August 31
47%
September 30
69%
$2,378 交易量
July 31
$821 交易量
28%
August 31
$899 交易量
47%
September 30
$657 交易量
69%
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's June 9 release of Fable 5, the first widely available Mythos-class model with added safeguards against cyber and bio risks, has reset trader expectations for the next iteration. This follows months of restricted access to Claude Mythos Preview due to its advanced autonomous exploit capabilities and the parallel rollout of an unrestricted Mythos 5 variant for Project Glasswing partners. Competitive pressure from rival frontier labs, combined with Anthropic's stated timeline for broader Mythos-class availability after safety refinements, underpins the market's strong lean toward a September 30 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include further API expansions, benchmark results, and any regulatory scrutiny on high-capability releases.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$2,378结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic's June 9 release of Fable 5, the first widely available Mythos-class model with added safeguards against cyber and bio risks, has reset trader expectations for the next iteration. This follows months of restricted access to Claude Mythos Preview due to its advanced autonomous exploit capabilities and the parallel rollout of an unrestricted Mythos 5 variant for Project Glasswing partners. Competitive pressure from rival frontier labs, combined with Anthropic's stated timeline for broader Mythos-class availability after safety refinements, underpins the market's strong lean toward a September 30 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include further API expansions, benchmark results, and any regulatory scrutiny on high-capability releases.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$2,378结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's June 9 release of Fable 5, the first widely available Mythos-class model with added safeguards against cyber and bio risks, has reset trader expectations for the next iteration. This follows months of restricted access to Claude Mythos Preview due to its advanced autonomous exploit capabilities and the parallel rollout of an unrestricted Mythos 5 variant for Project Glasswing partners. Competitive pressure from rival frontier labs, combined with Anthropic's stated timeline for broader Mythos-class availability after safety refinements, underpins the market's strong lean toward a September 30 resolution. Key upcoming catalysts include further API expansions, benchmark results, and any regulatory scrutiny on high-capability releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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