Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive sometime in June—following the immediate release of the lighter 3.5 Flash variant—has created a fragmented market with no dominant date. Traders see strong competitive pressure from faster, cheaper models already matching prior Pro benchmarks on agentic and reasoning tasks, combined with Google's history of phased rollouts to Ultra subscribers before broader availability. The tight clustering of June probabilities around 3–10% reflects uncertainty over exact timing, supply-chain or internal testing variables, and the absence of a confirmed launch window or developer preview. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-up statements from Sundar Pichai or DeepMind, benchmark disclosures, or integration updates into Gemini app and Search that could clarify the schedule before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月24日 11%
6 月 23 日 9%
6月11日 8%
在6月30日之前不发布 6.7%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
6 月 26 日
5%
6 月 13 日
2%
6 月 23 日
9%
6月24日
11%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
1%
6 月 8 日
2%
6 月 10 日
4%
6 月 20 日
3%
6月3日
1%
6 月 4 日
3%
6 月 5 日
3%
6 月 6 日
2%
6 月 15 日
1%
6 月 21 日
2%
6月25日
3%
6 月 7 日
2%
6 月 9 日
5%
6月11日
8%
6 月 12 日
7%
6月14日
2%
6月16日
7%
6 月 17 日
7%
6 月 18 日
7%
6 月 19 日
2%
6月30日
6%
6 月 22 日
6%
6 月 27 日
2%
6 月 28 日
3%
6月29日
4%
在6月30日之前不发布
7%
6月24日 11%
6 月 23 日 9%
6月11日 8%
在6月30日之前不发布 6.7%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
6 月 26 日
$169 交易量
5%
6 月 13 日
$307 交易量
2%
6 月 23 日
$160 交易量
9%
6月24日
$159 交易量
11%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
$177 交易量
1%
6 月 8 日
$182 交易量
2%
6 月 10 日
$271 交易量
4%
6 月 20 日
$236 交易量
3%
6月3日
$167 交易量
1%
6 月 4 日
$377 交易量
3%
6 月 5 日
$236 交易量
3%
6 月 6 日
$358 交易量
2%
6 月 15 日
$135 交易量
1%
6 月 21 日
$234 交易量
2%
6月25日
$222 交易量
3%
6 月 7 日
$270 交易量
2%
6 月 9 日
$130 交易量
5%
6月11日
$191 交易量
8%
6 月 12 日
$220 交易量
7%
6月14日
$240 交易量
2%
6月16日
$215 交易量
7%
6 月 17 日
$137 交易量
7%
6 月 18 日
$162 交易量
7%
6 月 19 日
$208 交易量
2%
6月30日
$142 交易量
6%
6 月 22 日
$181 交易量
6%
6 月 27 日
$227 交易量
2%
6 月 28 日
$321 交易量
3%
6月29日
$137 交易量
4%
在6月30日之前不发布
$536 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive sometime in June—following the immediate release of the lighter 3.5 Flash variant—has created a fragmented market with no dominant date. Traders see strong competitive pressure from faster, cheaper models already matching prior Pro benchmarks on agentic and reasoning tasks, combined with Google's history of phased rollouts to Ultra subscribers before broader availability. The tight clustering of June probabilities around 3–10% reflects uncertainty over exact timing, supply-chain or internal testing variables, and the absence of a confirmed launch window or developer preview. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-up statements from Sundar Pichai or DeepMind, benchmark disclosures, or integration updates into Gemini app and Search that could clarify the schedule before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
交易量
$6,651结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive sometime in June—following the immediate release of the lighter 3.5 Flash variant—has created a fragmented market with no dominant date. Traders see strong competitive pressure from faster, cheaper models already matching prior Pro benchmarks on agentic and reasoning tasks, combined with Google's history of phased rollouts to Ultra subscribers before broader availability. The tight clustering of June probabilities around 3–10% reflects uncertainty over exact timing, supply-chain or internal testing variables, and the absence of a confirmed launch window or developer preview. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-up statements from Sundar Pichai or DeepMind, benchmark disclosures, or integration updates into Gemini app and Search that could clarify the schedule before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,651结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's May 19 I/O announcement that Gemini 3.5 Pro would arrive sometime in June—following the immediate release of the lighter 3.5 Flash variant—has created a fragmented market with no dominant date. Traders see strong competitive pressure from faster, cheaper models already matching prior Pro benchmarks on agentic and reasoning tasks, combined with Google's history of phased rollouts to Ultra subscribers before broader availability. The tight clustering of June probabilities around 3–10% reflects uncertainty over exact timing, supply-chain or internal testing variables, and the absence of a confirmed launch window or developer preview. Key near-term catalysts include any follow-up statements from Sundar Pichai or DeepMind, benchmark disclosures, or integration updates into Gemini app and Search that could clarify the schedule before month-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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