North Carolina's 1st congressional district remains closely contested heading into the November general election, with the Democratic incumbent facing a Republican challenger in a seat redrawn multiple times by the state legislature to favor the GOP. Don Davis won narrow victories in prior cycles before the latest map adjustments, which Cook Political Report now rates as leaning Republican, yet his incumbency and local name recognition continue to anchor Democratic support near 41 percent in trader pricing. Laurie Buckhout secured the Republican nomination in the March primary, positioning the party to capitalize on the district's rightward shift, though no dominant polling separation has emerged to move implied probabilities decisively in either direction. Key variables ahead include campaign fundraising, turnout patterns in eastern North Carolina counties, and any late-cycle national political developments that could influence swing voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
43%
民主党
46%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$556 交易量
43%
民主党
$80 交易量
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 1st congressional district remains closely contested heading into the November general election, with the Democratic incumbent facing a Republican challenger in a seat redrawn multiple times by the state legislature to favor the GOP. Don Davis won narrow victories in prior cycles before the latest map adjustments, which Cook Political Report now rates as leaning Republican, yet his incumbency and local name recognition continue to anchor Democratic support near 41 percent in trader pricing. Laurie Buckhout secured the Republican nomination in the March primary, positioning the party to capitalize on the district's rightward shift, though no dominant polling separation has emerged to move implied probabilities decisively in either direction. Key variables ahead include campaign fundraising, turnout patterns in eastern North Carolina counties, and any late-cycle national political developments that could influence swing voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$636结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 1st congressional district remains closely contested heading into the November general election, with the Democratic incumbent facing a Republican challenger in a seat redrawn multiple times by the state legislature to favor the GOP. Don Davis won narrow victories in prior cycles before the latest map adjustments, which Cook Political Report now rates as leaning Republican, yet his incumbency and local name recognition continue to anchor Democratic support near 41 percent in trader pricing. Laurie Buckhout secured the Republican nomination in the March primary, positioning the party to capitalize on the district's rightward shift, though no dominant polling separation has emerged to move implied probabilities decisively in either direction. Key variables ahead include campaign fundraising, turnout patterns in eastern North Carolina counties, and any late-cycle national political developments that could influence swing voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$636结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 1st congressional district remains closely contested heading into the November general election, with the Democratic incumbent facing a Republican challenger in a seat redrawn multiple times by the state legislature to favor the GOP. Don Davis won narrow victories in prior cycles before the latest map adjustments, which Cook Political Report now rates as leaning Republican, yet his incumbency and local name recognition continue to anchor Democratic support near 41 percent in trader pricing. Laurie Buckhout secured the Republican nomination in the March primary, positioning the party to capitalize on the district's rightward shift, though no dominant polling separation has emerged to move implied probabilities decisively in either direction. Key variables ahead include campaign fundraising, turnout patterns in eastern North Carolina counties, and any late-cycle national political developments that could influence swing voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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